Liga MX
Tijuana - León
07/25/2026, 03:00 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%2:0
11%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Tijuana
León
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
29%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Tijuana's advantage on artificial turf with 3 wins and 6 draws compared to León's 2 losses and 0:10 goals
- Disastrous away defense for León conceding an average of 4.11 goals per match
- The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 52%
风险因素
- Only 68% of home goal threat available as Kevin Castañeda and Diego Abreu are missing
- Only 69% of León's goal threat available as Díber Cambindo, Iván Moreno and Fernando Beltrán are missing
- Tijuana averaged 5.6 shots on target per match in recent games
概述
Tijuana host León at the Estadio Caliente
Liga MX match on July 25, 2026, 3:00 AM
Tijuana occupies 3rd place with 3 points
León is currently in 13th place after a defeat
近期状态
Tijuana is unbeaten in their last 5 matches with a form of WDWDW
The hosts recorded 3 wins and 2 draws recently
León shows a form of WWLLL with 3 consecutive defeats
统计数据
Tijuana averages 1.46 goals scored per game this season
Tijuana has a solid home defense conceding only 0.57 goals on average
León concedes an average of 4.11 goals in away matches
历史交锋
Tijuana has a clear advantage with 3 wins from 4 matches
The last meeting ended with a 3:0 victory for Tijuana on March 15, 2026
Tijuana scored 11 goals and conceded 3 in these direct duels
关键球员
Mourad El Ghezouani has already scored 5 goals this season
Ramiro Árciga contributed 3 goals and 8 assists in 36 games
Ismael Díaz is León's top scorer with 10 goals and 6 assists
门将
Antonio Rodríguez achieved 13 clean sheets in 37 appearances
Óscar García recorded 6 clean sheets in 28 games for León
影响因素
Tijuana is solid on artificial turf with 3 wins and 6 draws
León lost both of their turf matches by a combined score of 0:10
The artificial turf surface remains a key home advantage