🇲🇽

Liga MX

Atlas - Monterrey

08/02/2026, 01:05 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Atlas
1.2
Total xG
2.2
Monterrey
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
ATLMON

Atlas

排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.12
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
Eduardo Aguirre未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Gustavo Henrique Ferrareis替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Aldo Rocha替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Sergio Hernandez替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Paulo Ramírez替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅48%可用)

Monterrey

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.79
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.08
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.04
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.02
Ricardo Chávez替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Gerardo Arteaga替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Fidel Ambríz替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.7球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

32%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

68%

双方进球

是

47%

否

53%

关键因素
  • Squad depletion: Atlas has only 48% of their regular starting goal-threat available due to injuries
  • Tactical edge: Monterrey averaged 5.8 shots on target recently, compared to Atlas' 4.4
  • Head-to-head history: Monterrey is undefeated in the last 4 matches against Atlas
风险因素
  • Defensive leaks: Monterrey concedes an average of 2.06 goals per away match
  • Goalkeeper missing: Monterrey's regular option E. Andrada is suspended with a red card
概述

Atlas (4th place, 6 points) hosts Monterrey (11th place, 3 points) at Estadio Jalisco

Liga MX fixture on August 2, 2026, 3:05 AM

Atlas looks to maintain their perfect start to the season

近期状态

Atlas form is WLLWW

The home side has won two consecutive matches

Monterrey form is LWLWL

The visitors lost their last match

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Atlas scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded 1.58 goals per match this season

At home, Atlas averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded

Monterrey averages 1.61 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game

Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 2.06 goals per game

历史交锋

Across 4 head-to-head matches, Atlas has 0 wins, Monterrey 2 wins, with 2 draws

The overall goal difference is 4:10 against Atlas

The last encounter on April 12, 2026, ended in a 0:0 draw

关键球员

Arturo González scored 7 goals in 30 season appearances

Manuel Capasso stands out with a 7.19 average rating

Lucas Ocampos recorded 7 goals and 6 assists for the visitors

门将

Camilo Vargas kept 10 clean sheets for Atlas this season

Luis Cárdenas averages a 6.99 rating in goal for the visitors

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at Estadio Jalisco

Historical venue average sits at 1.6 goals per game

Atlas concedes fewer goals at home (1.09) than away (2.46) on average

准备开始了吗？

创建账户，探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。