Premier League
Burnley - AFC Bournemouth
03/14/2026, 03:00 PM
预期进球
1.8
3.9
2.1
1:2
8%2:2
7%2:1
7%1:3
6%2:3
5%xG 分解
Burnley
AFC Bournemouth
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
23%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Under 1.5
9%
Over 2.5
74%
Under 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
54%
Under 3.5
46%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
74%
否
26%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: AFC Bournemouth has a higher win probability at 46%, while Burnley stands at 32%
- Offensive Form: Burnley is currently scoring more frequently (1.6) than their season average (1.3), while AFC Bournemouth's goal production is slowing (1.3 compared to a season average of 1.8)
- Tactical Comparison: AFC Bournemouth demonstrates an offensively strong approach with an average of 5.0 shots on target, compared to Burnley's 3.2 shots
风险因素
- AFC Bournemouth concedes an average of 2.07 goals per away game
- The pipeline analysis predicts a 74% probability that both teams will score
- The pipeline analysis indicates a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match
概述
Burnley (19th place, 19 points) host AFC Bournemouth (9th place, 40 points) at Turf Moor
Premier League match on March 14, 2026, 4:00 PM
Burnley is fighting for survival, while Bournemouth has established itself in the upper mid-table
近期状态
Burnley's form in the last five games is WLDLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
The last match ended in a loss, as did the one before that
AFC Bournemouth's form in the last five games is DWDDD (1 win, 4 draws, 0 losses)
The last three matches all ended in a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Burnley scores an average of 1.1 goals per game and concedes 2.0 goals
AFC Bournemouth scores an average of 1.52 goals and concedes 1.59 goals per game
At home, Burnley scores an average of 1.07 goals and concedes 1.64 goals
Away, AFC Bournemouth scores 1.53 goals and concedes 2.07 goals
At Turf Moor, an average of 4.4 goals were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches at Turf Moor, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches between Burnley and AFC Bournemouth, Burnley recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and AFC Bournemouth recorded 3 wins
Burnley scored a total of 6 goals, while AFC Bournemouth scored 9 goals
The last encounter on December 20, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
AFC Bournemouth has been generally more dominant in recent head-to-head matches
关键球员
For Burnley, Jaidon Anthony stands out with 7 goals and 1 assist in 28 season appearances, recently scoring once in 2 games
Hannibal has 1 goal and 3 assists in 21 season appearances, and his form trend is rising
Zian Flemming scored 7 goals and 1 assist in 20 season appearances, but his recent form is slightly declining
Not nominated: Lesley Ugochukwu (3G/1A), Marcus Edwards (1G/3A)
For AFC Bournemouth, Eli Kroupi is the top scorer with 8 goals in 24 season appearances
Marcus Tavernier contributed 5 goals and 4 assists in 25 games and shows stable form
Evanilson added 6 goals in 27 season appearances
Not nominated: Amine Adli (3G/1A), Álex Jiménez (1G/1A)
门将
Burnley's goalkeeper Martin Dúbravka has 3 clean sheets this season
AFC Bournemouth's goalkeeper Djordje Petrovic has managed 8 clean sheets
影响因素
Turf Moor is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.4 goals per match
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored
Burnley scores an average of 1.07 goals at home and concedes 1.64 goals
AFC Bournemouth's away record shows 1.53 goals scored and 2.07 goals conceded