🇲🇽

Liga MX

Atlético San Luis - Tijuana

08/01/2026, 03:00 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Atlético San Luis
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Tijuana
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
ASLTIJ

Atlético San Luis

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
+0.21
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第7位, 相差8位)
-0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
João Pedro未进大名单 (26球, 1助攻)
55%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)

Tijuana

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.46
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.16
状态上升 (2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.10
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第15位, 相差8位)
+0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.02
Kevin Castañeda未进大名单 (13球, 7助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.7球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

30%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Form discrepancy: Tijuana is unbeaten in 5 matches while San Luis won only one of their last 5 games
  • Visitors' attacking strength: Tijuana is currently scoring more frequently (2.0 goals) than their season average (1.7 goals)
  • Tactical advantage: Tijuana averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches with a counter-oriented style
风险因素
  • João Pedro is missing, only 65% of the goal threat available
  • Visitors' away defensive weakness: Tijuana concedes a high average of 2.36 goals per away game
  • Balanced probabilities: The model calculates a tight distribution with 37% for a home win and 33% for an away win
概述

Atlético San Luis hosts Tijuana at the Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez

Liga MX match on August 1, 2026, 5:00 AM

Tijuana arrives as league leaders with 6 points from 2 matches

Atlético San Luis currently sits in 13th place with only 1 point

The home team is under pressure to secure their first win of the season

近期状态

Atlético San Luis shows a form of LWLLD

The home side recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Tijuana is in great shape with a form of DWDWW

The visitors are unbeaten in 5 matches with 3 wins and 2 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atlético San Luis scored an average of 1.44 goals while conceding 1.65 goals per match this season

Their home record shows an average of 1.44 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded

Tijuana conceded an average of 2.36 goals per away match this season

The visitors score an average of 1.5 goals in away matches

The BTTS rate at San Luis's stadium is 60%

历史交锋

In the last 4 encounters, there were 3 draws and 1 win for Tijuana

The goal difference stands at 5:4 in favor of Tijuana

The last head-to-head match ended in a 1:1 draw on January 18, 2026

Atlético San Luis is still waiting for their first win against this opponent in this period

关键球员

For San Luis, midfielder Sébastien Salles-Lamonge shines with 5 goals and 6 assists this season

Forward Leonardo Flores recently recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 matches

Not nominated for Tijuana is Kevin Castañeda with 13 goals and 7 assists

Tijuana's Ramiro Árciga has recorded 3 goals and 8 assists this season

Forward Diego Abreu has already scored 3 goals this season

门将

Andrés Sánchez is in goal for San Luis with an average season rating of 6.80

Tijuana's Antonio Rodríguez holds a strong season rating of 7.20 and has kept 13 clean sheets this season

San Luis has achieved 7 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez

An average of 2.8 goals per match were scored in the last 5 matches at this venue

San Luis scored an average of 1.44 goals and conceded 1.62 at home

Tijuana conceded an average of 2.36 goals in away games

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。