Liga MX
Puebla - Guadalajara
08/01/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.0
2.2
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
13%0:1
12%1:0
9%0:2
8%xG 分解
Puebla
Guadalajara
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
29%
平局
32%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Tactical advantage: Guadalajara averaged 60% possession and 5.8 shots on target in recent matches compared to Puebla's 2.8
- Form and xG trend: Puebla's attacking output is stalling with a recent xG of 0.73 compared to their season average of 1.03
- Historical dominance: Guadalajara won three of the last four meetings, including a massive 5-0 win in the last encounter
风险因素
- Away defensive struggles: Guadalajara concede an average of 1.88 goals per away match
- Squad depth: The visitors are missing key offensive players not in the squad, such as Efraín Álvarez, Santiago Sandoval, and Ángel Sepúlveda
概述
Puebla host Guadalajara at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Liga MX match on August 1, 2026, 1:00 AM
Both teams sit in the mid-table with three points after two matches
The model predicts a balanced match with a slight advantage for the visitors (39% win probability)
近期状态
Puebla show weak form with four losses in their last five matches
Form string of the hosts: LLLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Guadalajara recently improved, securing two wins, one draw, and two losses
Form string of the visitors: WDLLW
统计数据
Puebla conceded an average of 2 goals per match this season
Guadalajara scored an average of 1.75 goals per match while conceding 1.23
Puebla's home record stands at 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match
The visitors average 1.75 goals scored and 1.88 conceded on the road
历史交锋
Guadalajara won three of the last four direct encounters
Puebla managed only one victory
The last meeting ended in a clear 5-0 win for Guadalajara in April 2026
关键球员
For Puebla, Emiliano Gómez stands out with 8 goals and 5 assists this season
Carlos Baltazar contributed 4 goals and 3 assists in the hosts' midfield
Guadalajara's top scorer Armando González has already scored 24 goals this season
Roberto Alvarado shines with 4 goals and 5 assists this term
Not nominated for the visitors are Efraín Álvarez, Santiago Sandoval, and Ángel Sepúlveda
门将
Daniel Gutiérrez starts in goal for Puebla, holding a season rating of 6.91
Raúl Rangel guards the net for Guadalajara with a season average of 6.9
Guadalajara achieved 14 clean sheets this season, while Puebla kept 6
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Stadium statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per match with a 60% BTTS rate
Puebla benefit from a 10-day break compared to 7 days for the visitors