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Liga MX

Cruz Azul - Atlante

08/02/2026, 03:00 AM

2 : 3
预期进球
Cruz Azul
1.4
Total xG
2.9
Atlante
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
CAATL

Cruz Azul

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.08
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.04
José Paradela替补席 (10球, 10助攻)
Carlos Rodríguez替补席 (8球, 6助攻)
Carlos Rotondi替补席 (6球, 7助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅52%可用)

Atlante

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.57
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.36
+0.36
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

28%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

72%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Only 52% of the goal threat available, without José Paradela, Carlos Rodríguez, and Carlos Rotondi
  • Cruz Azul recently averaged 7.0 shots on target with 56% possession
  • The mathematical model projects a closely contested match with an away win probability of 40%
风险因素
  • Atlante concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away match
  • Limited data availability on head-to-head history and away team player form
概述

Cruz Azul (3rd place, 6 points) host Atlante (14th place, 1 point) at Estadio Banorte

Liga MX match on August 2, 2026, 5:00 AM

Tight predictions despite the hosts leading in the standings

近期状态

Cruz Azul is in strong form with a record of WDWWW

The home side has recorded 4 wins and 1 draw recently

Atlante has had a slower start with a record of LD consisting of 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Cruz Azul scores 1.77 goals and concedes 1.09 goals on average per season

Solid home defense for the hosts with only 0.92 goals conceded per home game

Atlante averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match

Away from home Atlante concedes an average of 2.0 goals

门将

Andrés Gudiño starts in goal for Cruz Azul while Óscar Jiménez is between the posts for Atlante

影响因素

Home advantage for Cruz Azul at Estadio Banorte on grass

Matches at this venue average 3.2 goals per game

The BTTS rate at this stadium stands at 60%

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