🇲🇽

Liga MX

América - Santos Laguna

08/02/2026, 11:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
América
1.9
Total xG
2.7
Santos Laguna
0.7
最可能的比分

2:0

13%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
AMÉSL

América

排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.07
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.02
Álex Zendejas未进大名单 (12球, 7助攻)
Kevin Álvarez替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
43%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

Santos Laguna

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-1.14
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.34
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.06
Lucas Di Yorio替补席 (6球, 3助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

64%

平局

24%

客胜

12%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

88%

客胜或平局

36%

非平局

76%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model calculates a 64% home win probability for América
  • Santos Laguna conceded an average of 3.14 goals per away match this season
  • América dominated recent games tactically with an average of 63.4% possession and 5.8 shots on target
风险因素
  • América is missing Álex Zendejas and Kevin Álvarez, leaving only 61% of their usual starting strength available
  • The absence of starting goalkeeper L. Malagón Velázquez weakens the host's defensive structure
概述

América (8th place, 4 points) host Santos Laguna (17th place, 0 points) at the Estadio Banorte

Liga MX match on August 2, 2026, 11:00 PM

The home side enters as the favorite

近期状态

América Form: LDDWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Santos Laguna Form: LLWLL

América remains stable with 1 win and 3 draws

Santos Laguna struggles with 4 losses in their last 5 matches

统计数据

América averages 1.61 goals scored and 1.16 goals conceded per match

Santos Laguna concedes an average of 3.14 goals per away game

América kept 7 clean sheets at home this season

历史交锋

A total of 4 head-to-head matches

3 wins for América, 0 wins for Santos Laguna, and 1 draw

The last match ended in a 1:1 draw on April 5, 2026

关键球员

Isaías Violante with 2 goals and 4 assists this season

Raphael Veiga contributed 2 goals and 2 assists with a 7.06 rating

Cristián Borja provided 3 assists with a 6.93 average rating

Ezequiel Bullaude leads Santos Laguna with 5 goals and 4 assists (7.02 rating)

Aldo López recorded 4 goals and 1 assist (6.83 rating)

Fran Villalba shows a rising form trend with a 7.20 rating

Not nominated for Santos Laguna: Lucas Di Yorio (6 goals, 3 assists)

门将

Rodolfo Cota for América with 12 appearances and a 6.77 average rating

Carlos Acevedo for Santos Laguna with 32 appearances and a strong 7.73 rating in recent games

América kept 11 clean sheets compared to 6 for Santos Laguna this season

影响因素

Home match on grass at Estadio Banorte

The stadium averages 3.4 goals per match historically

América displays strong home form with 1.57 goals scored per home match

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。