🇲🇽

Liga MX

León - Pachuca

08/02/2026, 01:06 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
León
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Pachuca
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
LEÓPAC

León

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.72
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
+0.48
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.15
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第9位, 相差8位)
-0.12
Ismael Díaz未进大名单 (10球, 6助攻)
Díber Cambindo替补席 (8球, 2助攻)
Salvador Reyes替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
62%进球产出缺失 (仅44%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.1球)

Pachuca

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.56
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第17位, 相差8位)
+0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán未进大名单 (5球, 8助攻)
Kenedy替补席 (9球, 2助攻)
Enner Valencia未进大名单 (8球, 1助攻)
Brian García未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
50%进球产出缺失 (仅51%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

30%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

70%

双方进球

54%

46%

关键因素
  • Only 45% of León's goal threat is available, with Ismael Díaz, Díber Cambindo, and Salvador Reyes missing
  • Only 51% of Pachuca's goal threat is available, with Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán, Kenedy, Enner Valencia, and Brian García missing
  • León averaged 5.4 shots on target with 56.4% possession in recent matches
风险因素
  • León concedes 1.85 goals on average per season and 2.4 goals in recent matches
  • Pachuca averaged only 3.6 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Limited data on duel statistics for the last 5 matches
概述

León (17th place, 0 points) vs Pachuca (9th place, 3 points) at Estadio León

Liga MX match on August 2, 2026, 3:06 AM

León under pressure after two consecutive losses

The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 40%

近期状态

León's form: WLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

León with 1 win and 4 losses recently

Pachuca's form: WWLWL

Pachuca with 3 wins and 2 losses recently

统计数据

León scores an average of 1.06 goals and concedes 1.85 goals per season

Pachuca averages 1.35 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded

In León's home games, they average 1.04 goals scored and 1.04 conceded

Pachuca averages 1.32 goals scored and 1.32 conceded away from home

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in the database

Even record with 1 win each and 2 draws

The last meeting ended 2-1 for the away team on January 14, 2026

关键球员

Iván Moreno has 1 goal and 5 assists in 33 appearances with a 6.6 rating

Fernando Beltrán contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 31 games (6.92 rating)

Daniel Arcila scored 4 goals in 21 appearances with a 6.81 rating

Oussama Idrissi shines with 6 goals, 3 assists, and a 6.93 rating in 34 matches

Elías Montiel recorded 2 goals and 5 assists in 20 games with a 7.03 rating

Salomón Rondón has scored 5 goals in 20 appearances with a 6.86 rating

门将

Óscar García is in goal for León, with 6 clean sheets in 28 appearances

Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna guards Pachuca's goal, keeping 10 clean sheets in 39 matches

影响因素

Estadio León features a natural grass surface

The stadium historically hosts high-scoring matches, averaging 3.8 goals per game

Both Over 2.5 goals (80% of matches) and Both Teams to Score (60%) are frequent occurrences here

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。