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Liga MX

Juárez - Pumas UNAM

08/01/2026, 03:00 AM

1 : 5
预期进球
Juárez
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Pumas UNAM
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

12%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
JUÁPU

Juárez

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.37倍)
+0.65
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.46
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
-0.14
全员可用

Pumas UNAM

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.51倍)
-0.96
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.20
Jordán Carrillo未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.7球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

26%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

74%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Juárez has played counter-oriented recently with an average of 42.6% possession while Pumas averaged a more balanced game
  • Goal production is stalling for both teams recently with an average of only 1.0 goals per game compared to their higher season average
  • The model predicts a 58% home win probability for Juárez and expects 1.73 home goals
风险因素
  • Juárez has conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game recently
  • Pumas averaged only 1.8 shots on target per game recently
概述

Juárez host Pumas UNAM at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Liga MX match on August 1, 2026, 3:00 AM

Bottom-placed Juárez (18th place, 0 points) face 12th-placed Pumas UNAM (3 points)

Both teams seek a breakthrough after a difficult start to the season

近期状态

Juárez form in recent matches is LLWLL with 1 win and 4 losses (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Pumas UNAM travel with a form of WDLLW consisting of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Juárez lost their last two games while Pumas recorded a win in their last match

统计数据

Juárez scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.74 goals this season

Pumas UNAM average 1.63 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded

Juárez is solid at home with an average of 1.5 goals scored per game

Pumas UNAM concede an average of 1.5 goals per away game

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches Juárez won 1, Pumas won 2 and 2 ended in a draw

The last meeting ended in a 4-2 win for Pumas UNAM

The overall goal ratio stands at 7 to 8 in favor of Pumas

关键球员

Óscar Estupiñán scored 15 goals in 32 season appearances for the home team

Robert Morales has registered 9 goals in 23 appearances for the visitors

Pedro Vite impresses in Pumas midfield with a rising form trend

Not nominated: Jordán Carrillo (6 goals / 3 assists)

门将

Sebastián Jurado plays in goal for Juárez with a rising form trend

Keylor Navas guards the goal for Pumas UNAM with a stable season performance

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

In the last 5 home matches there the average was 2.8 goals per game

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