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Liga MX

Monterrey - Juárez

08/16/2026, 01:10 AM

6 : 1
预期进球
Monterrey
1.9
Total xG
2.8
Juárez
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

11%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
MONJUÁ

Monterrey

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.36倍)
+0.80
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.02
Jesús Corona替补席 (4球, 4助攻)
22%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Juárez

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.52倍)
-0.90
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.14
Jairo Torres替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
Francisco Nevárez替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.39
+0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

61%

平局

24%

客胜

15%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

85%

客胜或平局

39%

非平局

76%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Clear favorite role for Monterrey with a calculated home win probability of 61%
  • Monterrey averaged 5.4 shots on target in recent matches compared to only 2.2 for Juárez
  • Downward trend for Juárez with three consecutive losses and an increased average of 2.4 goals conceded in recent games
风险因素
  • Juárez concede an average of 2.25 goals per away game this season
  • The last head-to-head match ended in a 2-2 draw
概述

Monterrey (5th place, 6 points) host Juárez (18th place, 0 points) at Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Liga MX match on August 16, 2026, 3:10 AM

Monterrey look to keep pace with the top of the table while Juárez sit at the bottom after three defeats

近期状态

Monterrey enter with a form of WLWLW in recent matches

The hosts recorded three wins and two losses recently

Juárez show a form of LWLLL with just one win and four defeats

The visitors are currently on a three-match losing streak

统计数据

Monterrey score an average of 1.62 goals and concede 1.10 at home

Juárez concede an average of 2.25 goals away while scoring 1.50

Monterrey kept six clean sheets at home this season

Juárez managed to keep only one clean sheet in their away matches

历史交锋

In four head-to-head matches, Monterrey won twice while Juárez won once

The last encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on March 14, 2026

A total of 18 goals were scored across these matchups

关键球员

Lucas Ocampos has 7 goals, 6 assists this season and scored 5 goals in his last 5 matches

Óliver Torres has recorded 2 goals and 8 assists in 33 appearances

Luca Orellano contributed 3 goals and 4 assists this season

Óscar Estupiñán is the visitors' biggest threat with 15 goals and 3 assists

José Luis Rodríguez has registered 4 goals and 9 assists in 37 appearances

Guilherme Castilho contributed 7 goals and 2 assists so far this season

Not nominated: Jesús Corona (4 goals, 4 assists)

Not nominated: Jairo Torres (4 goals, 2 assists) and Francisco Nevárez (2 goals, 1 assist)

门将

Luis Cárdenas has played 21 games this season for the hosts, who kept 10 clean sheets overall

Sebastián Jurado started 38 matches for the visitors, who recorded 3 clean sheets in total

影响因素

Estadio BBVA Bancomer averaged 3.6 goals per game in recent matches

The match will be played on natural grass

Monterrey benefit from a stable home record with only 1.10 goals conceded per game

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