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Liga MX

Pachuca - Puebla

08/18/2026, 03:06 AM

2 : 3
预期进球
Pachuca
1.5
Total xG
2.2
Puebla
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

1:1

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
PACPUE

Pachuca

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.32
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.12
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第18位, 相差9位)
+0.06
Christian Rivera未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

Puebla

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.70
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第9位, 相差9位)
-0.07
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

29%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

71%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Historical dominance: Pachuca won 3 of the last 4 direct matches against Puebla
  • Away weakness: Puebla concedes an average of 2.57 goals per away match
  • Model forecast: The mathematical analysis calculates a 54% probability for a home win
风险因素
  • Struggling offense for Pachuca with recently only 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
  • Low goal threat for Pachuca with recently only 3.0 shots on target averaged per match
  • Missing creativity due to the absence of Christian Rivera with only 73% of seasonal assists available
概述

Pachuca host Puebla at the Estadio Hidalgo

Liga MX match on August 18, 2026, 4:06 AM

Puebla occupies 12th place with 4 points

Pachuca sits close behind in 13th place with 3 points

近期状态

Pachuca's form is WLWLL

They have 2 wins and 3 losses in their recent matches

Puebla's form is LLWLD

They have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their recent matches

统计数据

Pachuca scores an average of 1.35 goals per game

Their defense concedes an average of 1.1 goals per game

Puebla struggles away from home conceding an average of 2.57 goals per game

Puebla scores an average of 1.0 goals per game

历史交锋

Pachuca dominates the history with 3 wins and 1 draw in 4 head-to-head matches

Puebla has not won any of these direct duels

The last match ended in a 2-1 home victory for Pachuca

关键球员

Oussama Idrissi recorded 6 goals and 3 assists this season

Salomón Rondón has contributed 5 goals this season

Emiliano Gómez leads the visitors with 8 goals and 5 assists

门将

Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna kept 10 clean sheets for Pachuca

Daniel Gutiérrez represented Puebla in 17 games in goal

影响因素

Pachuca benefits from home advantage conceding only 0.90 goals per home game

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Hidalgo

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