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Liga MX

América - Atlético San Luis

08/16/2026, 11:00 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
América
1.6
Total xG
2.4
Atlético San Luis
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:0

13%

2:0

11%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
AMÉASL

América

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.30
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.15
状态上升 (2.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.15
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第15位, 相差11位)
+0.08
Isaías Violante替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
Cristián Borja替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Érick Sánchez替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Kevin Álvarez替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
63%进球产出缺失 (仅28%可用)

Atlético San Luis

排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第4位, 相差11位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.02
Leonardo Flores替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
50%进球产出缺失 (仅69%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.34
+0.34
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

28%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

72%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Drastic drop in quality for América: Only 28% of the usual starting lineup's goal threat is available, with key players Isaías Violante, Cristián Borja, Érick Sánchez, and Kevin Álvarez not in the lineup
  • Tactical dominance: América recently averaged 6.4 shots on target and 59.8% ball possession
  • Statistical advantage: The mathematical model calculates a 54% probability for a home win and expects 1.58 goals for América
风险因素
  • Opponent absence: Atlético San Luis will play without Leonardo Flores, leaving them with only 70% of their goal threat
  • Historical warning: América lost the last head-to-head match at home 2-0 on January 15, 2026
  • Goalkeeper setback for América: First-choice keeper L. Malagón Velázquez is sidelined with an injury
概述

América host Atlético San Luis at the Estadio Banorte

Liga MX match on August 16, 2026, 11:00 PM

América are currently in 3rd place with 7 points

Atlético San Luis occupy 15th place with 2 points

The home team is the favorite for this encounter

近期状态

América are in stable form with a DDWDW record (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They won their last match 3-0 against Santos Laguna

Atlético San Luis show a form of WLLDD

The visitors drew their last match 0-0 against Tijuana

统计数据

América score an average of 1.61 goals and concede 1.16 goals per game this season

At home, América concede only 0.95 goals on average

Atlético San Luis score an average of 1.44 goals and concede 1.65 goals

Away from home, San Luis concede an average of 1.67 goals

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, both teams have recorded 2 wins each

The last meeting on January 15, 2026, ended in a 2-0 away win for Atlético San Luis

There have been no draws recorded between these teams

关键球员

Henry Martin has recently recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games

Raphael Veiga holds a season average rating of 7.06

Sébastien Salles-Lamonge excels with a season average rating of 7.21

门将

Fernando Tapia starts in goal for América, having made no appearances this season

Andrés Sánchez starts in goal for the visitors with a season rating of 6.8

影响因素

The match is played at the Estadio Banorte on grass

Venue statistics show an average of 3.0 goals per match

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