Liga MX
Necaxa - León
08/18/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.4
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
10%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Necaxa
León
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
30%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Matchup advantage: Necaxa's home strength meets León's defensive away weakness of 4.11 goals conceded per match on average
- Offensive drive: León averaged 5.4 shots on target per match in recent games
- Model prediction: The mathematical model calculates a 47% home win probability for Necaxa
风险因素
- Away weakness: León concedes an extremely high average of 4.11 goals per away game
- Recent upswing: León won their last match 1-0, breaking their previous losing streak
- Limited data on duel statistics for the last five matches
概述
Necaxa hosts León at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Liga MX match on August 18, 2026, 3:00 AM
Necaxa is in 10th place with 6 points while León sits in 14th place with 3 points
近期状态
Necaxa has a form of DLWWL and lost their last match 1-3 against Toluca
León secured a 1-0 win against Pachuca after previously losing four games in a row (form: LLLLW)
统计数据
Necaxa scored 1.26 goals and conceded 1.68 goals on average this season
León scores 1.06 goals on average but concedes a disastrous 4.11 goals per away match
Both teams scored in 4 of Necaxa's 5 home matches with an average of 2.2 goals per game
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches Necaxa won 1, León won 2 and 1 ended in a draw
The last meeting ended 2-1 for León on March 1, 2026
关键球员
For Necaxa Ricardo Monreal (4 goals, 2 assists in 32 matches), midfielder Javier Ruiz (5 goals, 1 assist in 12 matches) and Danny Leyva (3 assists) are key
Not nominated for Necaxa: Agustín Oliveros (2 goals/1 assist), Julián Carranza (3 goals/0 assists)
León relies on scorer Díber Cambindo (8 goals, 2 assists in 17 matches), Fernando Beltrán (3 goals, 2 assists in 31 matches) and Daniel Arcila (4 goals)
Not nominated for León: Ismael Díaz (10 goals/6 assists), Salvador Reyes (0 goals/2 assists)
门将
Luis Jiménez plays in goal for Necaxa with 0 clean sheets this season but showed rising form recently
Óscar García guards the goal for León and recorded 6 clean sheets so far
影响因素
Necaxa benefits from home advantage at Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes conceding only 1.00 goals per home game
León shows extreme away weakness conceding an average of 4.11 goals on the road on grass