Liga MX
Pumas UNAM - Querétaro
08/16/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
11%0:1
11%2:1
7%xG 分解
Pumas UNAM
Querétaro
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
33%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Home attack vs away defense: Pumas UNAM score 1.67 goals on average at home, while Querétaro concede an average of 2.5 goals on the road
- Visitor squad limitation: Querétaro are missing Mateo Coronel, leaving only 79% of their usual goal threat available
- Shooting efficiency metrics: Querétaro averaged 4.0 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Pumas UNAM's average of 2.6
风险因素
- Balanced mathematical forecast: The model calculates a highly tight match with a 35% home win and 32% away win probability
- Home offensive vacancy: Álvaro Angulo is absent from Pumas UNAM's starting lineup
- Away defensive leakage: Querétaro concede a high average of 2.5 goals per away game this season
概述
Pumas UNAM host Querétaro
Liga MX match at the Estadio Olímpico de Universitario on August 16, 2026, 8:00 PM
Both teams are currently tied with 6 points each, occupying 6th and 8th place in the standings
A victory is crucial for both to stay connected with the top group
近期状态
Pumas UNAM show a form sequence of DLLWW with two consecutive wins
Querétaro enter the match with a DWLWW form, also coming off back-to-back victories
Both sides head into this match on a positive form trend
统计数据
Pumas UNAM score an average of 1.63 goals per match while conceding 1.32
Querétaro average 1.06 goals scored but suffer defensively on the road, conceding a high average of 2.5 goals per away game
Matches played at the Estadio Olímpico de Universitario have averaged 3.8 total goals this season
历史交锋
Across 4 recent head-to-head matches, Pumas UNAM recorded 2 wins, Querétaro 1 win, and 1 draw
Their last encounter on January 11, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
Pumas UNAM scored a total of 7 goals in these matches, while Querétaro found the net 4 times
关键球员
Robert Morales is a major threat for the hosts with 9 goals and 2 assists this season
Juninho has contributed 8 goals and 4 assists for Pumas UNAM
Alí Ávila leads the visitors' attack with an impressive 11 goals and 1 assist
Not nominated: Álvaro Angulo (6 goals, 2 assists) and Mateo Coronel (5 goals, 0 assists)
门将
Keylor Navas guards the goal for Pumas UNAM with a season rating of 7.04
Guillermo Allison is in goal for Querétaro, averaging a rating of 6.95
Navas secured 12 clean sheets this season, while Allison recorded 8 clean sheets
影响因素
Pumas UNAM benefit from home advantage, scoring an average of 1.67 goals on home turf
Querétaro struggle significantly away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals on their travels
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Olímpico de Universitario