🇲🇽

Liga MX

Atlas - Tigres UANL

08/16/2026, 03:10 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Atlas
0.9
Total xG
2.4
Tigres UANL
1.5
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

0:0

11%

0:2

10%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
ATLTU

Atlas

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.32
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第2位, 相差12位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03
Aldo Rocha未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Sergio Hernandez替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)

Tigres UANL

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第14位, 相差12位)
+0.08
Ozziel Herrera替补席 (7球, 4助攻)
Vladimir Loroña替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅84%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

30%

客胜

48%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

52%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

70%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Tigres UANL averaged 4.6 shots on target with 50.4% possession in recent matches
  • The mathematical analysis forecasts a 48% probability of an away win for Tigres UANL
  • Historical dominance: Tigres UANL remain unbeaten in their last 4 head-to-head matches against Atlas, winning 2
风险因素
  • Atlas must cope without Aldo Rocha and Sergio Hernandez, leaving them with only 71% of their typical starting strength
  • Tigres UANL are missing Ozziel Herrera and Vladimir Loroña, reducing their active squad strength to 84%
  • Negative form trend: Tigres UANL's goal production has stalled recently at 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 2.0
概述

Atlas (9th place, 6 points) host Tigres UANL (16th place, 1 point) at the Estadio Jalisco

Liga MX match on August 16, 2026, 5:10 AM

Atlas look to consolidate their table position, while Tigres aim to correct their poor start

近期状态

Form Atlas: LLWWL, Form Tigres UANL: WLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Atlas recently recorded 2 wins and 3 losses

Tigres have 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

统计数据

Atlas score an average of 1.17 goals per game this season and concede 1.58 goals

In home games, Atlas concede only 1.09 goals per match

Tigres UANL boast a strong scoring average of 1.79 goals but concede 1.87 goals per away game on average

This season, both teams scored in 24 of Tigres' 42 matches

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches

Tigres UANL secured 2 wins, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Atlas

The goal difference is 5:2 in favor of Tigres UANL

The last encounter ended in a 0:0 draw on April 23, 2026

关键球员

Arturo González scored 7 times in 30 appearances this season with a rating of 6.88

Manuel Capasso stabilizes the defense with a rating of 7.19 in 19 games

Édgar Zaldívar has registered 1 goal in his last 5 matches

For the visitors, Juan Brunetta shines with 19 goals and 9 assists in 42 games (rating 7.55)

Diego Sánchez scored 4 goals in 17 season appearances

Diego Lainez contributed 6 goals and 7 assists

门将

Camilo Vargas played 33 season matches for Atlas, recording 7 clean sheets in home games

On the other side, Nahuel Guzmán has 42 appearances and 4 clean sheets in away matches for Tigres UANL

影响因素

The home advantage for Atlas is reflected in an average of 1.17 home goals scored and 1.09 conceded at the Estadio Jalisco

The stadium statistics show an average of 2.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of the matches

The match will be played on natural grass

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。