Liga MX
Santos Laguna - Guadalajara
08/17/2026, 01:10 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
31%
客胜
38%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
62%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance: Guadalajara controlled recent matches with 59% average possession and averaged 6.4 shots on target
- Historical superiority: Guadalajara won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches with an overall goal difference of 6-1
- Mathematical favorite: The model favors the visitors with a 38% win probability and 1.24 expected goals
风险因素
- Weakened attack for Santos Laguna: Lucas Di Yorio and Ramiro Sordo are missing, leaving only 64% of the goal threat available
- Squad limitations for Guadalajara: Bryan Alonso González Oliván, Daniel Aguirre Domínguez, and Ángel Sepúlveda are missing, reducing goal threat to 61%
- Sluggish offenses: According to advanced stats, both teams currently score fewer goals, averaging just 1.0 goals per match recently
概述
Santos Laguna (17th place, 0 points) host Guadalajara (12th place, 4 points) at Estadio Nuevo Corona
Liga MX match on August 17, 2026, 1:10 AM
The hosts are under pressure after three defeats while the visitors aim to climb the table
近期状态
Santos Laguna in poor form: LWLLL with 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home side suffered three consecutive defeats recently
Guadalajara show mixed form: DLLWD with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their last match ended in a draw
统计数据
Santos Laguna score an average of 1.24 goals and concede 1.94 goals per game
At home, their defense is tighter, conceding 1.1 goals on average
Guadalajara score 1.75 goals on average while conceding 1.23 per match
Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 1.88 goals
历史交锋
Historical record from 4 head-to-head matches favors the visitors
Guadalajara record 3 wins while Santos Laguna won once, with total goals of 6-1 in favor of Guadalajara
The last direct encounter ended in a 3-0 victory for Guadalajara
关键球员
Ezequiel Bullaude stands out in midfield with 5 goals and 4 assists, holding a 7.02 rating
Aldo López scored 4 goals this season with a 6.83 average rating
Fran Villalba contributed 3 goals and 2 assists
Roberto Alvarado shines for the visitors with 4 goals, 5 assists, and a 7.26 rating
Richard Ledezma is a key creator with 8 assists in defense
Ricardo Marín has recorded 3 goals so far this season
门将
Carlos Acevedo kept 6 clean sheets this season with a 6.93 average rating
Raúl Rangel on the opposite side has registered 14 clean sheets with a 6.9 rating
影响因素
Home advantage for Santos Laguna on the grass surface of Estadio Nuevo Corona
Venue statistics average 2.0 total goals per match
Both teams scored at this venue in 40% of the fixtures