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Liga MX

Cruz Azul - Atlas

08/23/2026, 03:00 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Cruz Azul
1.6
Total xG
2.3
Atlas
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
CAATL

Cruz Azul

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.24
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第14位, 相差11位)
+0.08
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.03
Carlos Rotondi未进大名单 (6球, 7助攻)
Luka Romero替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Gonzalo Piovi未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Atlas

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.68
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第3位, 相差11位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
Gustavo Henrique Ferrareis替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Aldo Rocha未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Sergio Hernandez替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.3球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

28%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

72%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Home strength vs away struggles: Cruz Azul score an average of 1.75 goals at home, while Atlas concede 2.46 goals away on average
  • Tactical dominance: Cruz Azul recently dominated with an average of 59% possession and created 7.2 shots on target per match
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a 55% probability of a home win
风险因素
  • Squad impact: Due to missing players, Atlas only have 83% of their usual goal-scoring threat available
  • Away defensive instability: Atlas allow a high average of 2.46 goals conceded per away match
概述

Cruz Azul host Atlas at the Estadio Banorte

Liga MX match on August 23, 2026, 5:00 AM

Eleventh place faces sixth place in the standings

The home side aims to close the gap in the table with a victory

近期状态

Cruz Azul form: WWWLL

Atlas form is: LWWLW

Both teams recently secured 3 wins and suffered 2 defeats

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Cruz Azul average 1.77 goals scored per game this season

Atlas concede an average of 2.46 goals per away match

In home matches, Cruz Azul average 1.75 goals scored

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches so far

Cruz Azul achieved 3 victories and remained unbeaten at home

The last direct encounter ended 1-0 in favor of Cruz Azul

关键球员

José Paradela stands out with 10 goals and 10 assists this season

Carlos Rodríguez has contributed 8 goals and 6 assists so far

Arturo González is a key attacker for the visitors with 7 goals this season

门将

Kevin Mier plays in goal for Cruz Azul and has kept 8 home clean sheets

Camilo Vargas guards the Atlas goal and has recorded 10 clean sheets

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Banorte

The historical home record indicates an advantage for Cruz Azul

The stadium averages 2.6 goals per game

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