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Liga MX

Atlético San Luis - Pachuca

08/23/2026, 11:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Atlético San Luis
0.9
Total xG
2.1
Pachuca
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

0:1

13%

1:0

9%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
ASLPAC

Atlético San Luis

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.80
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.13
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第9位, 相差6位)
-0.06
Leonardo Flores替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)

Pachuca

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.21
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第15位, 相差6位)
+0.04

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.46
+0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

33%

客胜

40%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

60%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model predicts a slight advantage for Pachuca with a 40% away win probability and 1.19 expected goals
  • In recent matches, Atlético San Luis averaged 3.6 shots on target, whereas Pachuca averaged only 2.8 shots
  • Both offenses have slowed down recently, with Atlético San Luis (1.3 goals) and Pachuca (1.2 goals) failing to match their seasonal averages of 1.4 goals
风险因素
  • Pachuca averaged only 2.8 shots on target per game in their recent matches
  • Atlético San Luis are still without a win this season (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
  • Pachuca travel with a streak of three consecutive defeats
概述

Atlético San Luis host Pachuca at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez

Liga MX match on August 23, 2026, 11:00 PM

A clash of table neighbors in the lower standings

Pachuca are 15th with 3 points, Atlético San Luis 16th with 2 points

近期状态

Atlético San Luis show a form of LLDDL with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats

They recently lost 0-3 against América

Pachuca travel with a form of LWLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 defeats)

The visitors recently lost 2-3 against Puebla

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atlético San Luis average 1.44 goals scored and 1.65 conceded this season

At home, they average 1.44 goals scored and 1.62 conceded

Pachuca average 1.35 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded

Away from home, Pachuca concede an average of 1.32 goals and score 1.32

The goal average at this venue stands at 2.4 goals per game

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, there is 1 home win, 2 away wins, and 1 draw

The goal difference stands at 4-6 from San Luis's perspective

The last duel on March 14, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw

Pachuca have been the dominant team in recent meetings

关键球员

Sébastien Salles-Lamonge scored 5 goals and 6 assists in 34 games (7.21 rating)

David Rodríguez has 1 goal in 7 games with a 7.01 rating

Román Torres contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in 33 games

Salomón Rondón scored 5 goals in 20 games, with all 5 coming in his last 5 matches

Oussama Idrissi recorded 6 goals and 3 assists in 34 games

Elías Montiel registered 2 goals and 5 assists in 20 appearances

Not nominated: Leonardo Flores (1 goal / 1 assist)

门将

Andrés Sánchez guarded the goal in 32 matches for the hosts

Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna played 39 games for Pachuca

San Luis kept 7 clean sheets this season, while Pachuca recorded 10

影响因素

The home advantage is built on 23 goals scored and 26 conceded at home

Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez averaged 2.4 goals per game in recent matches

The match will be played on natural grass

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