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Liga MX

Pumas UNAM - Necaxa

08/24/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Pumas UNAM
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Necaxa
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
PUNEC

Pumas UNAM

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.41
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.05
Álvaro Angulo未进大名单 (6球, 2助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅95%可用)

Necaxa

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.42
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
Javier Ruiz替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.46
+0.46
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

31%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

69%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Necaxa missing Javier Ruiz (5 goals, 1 assist) leaving them with only 86% of usual lineup strength
  • Pumas UNAM averaged 3.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to Necaxa's average of 5.4
  • Pumas UNAM is currently scoring more frequently with 2.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.8
风险因素
  • Necaxa concedes an extremely vulnerable average of 2.35 goals in away matches
  • Pumas UNAM must do without Álvaro Angulo who is missing with 6 goals and 2 assists
概述

Pumas UNAM host Necaxa at the Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Liga MX fixture on August 24, 2026, 3:00 AM

Pumas UNAM are in 9th place with 7 points, while Necaxa occupy 11th with 6 points

The model calculates a 38% probability for a home win

近期状态

Pumas UNAM hold a form of LLWWD with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Necaxa show a form of LWWLL with 2 wins and 3 losses

Pumas UNAM recently drew 0-0 against Querétaro, while Necaxa lost 1-2 to León

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Pumas UNAM score an average of 1.63 goals and concede 1.32 goals per match

At home, Pumas score consistently with an average of 1.67 goals

Necaxa score an average of 1.26 goals but concede 2.35 goals per away game

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of the games at this venue

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches between these teams

Pumas UNAM won 2 matches, Necaxa won 1, with 1 draw

The goal difference in these direct encounters is even at 4 to 4

The last match on March 7, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for Pumas UNAM

关键球员

Robert Morales leads the attack with 9 goals and 2 assists this season

Juninho has contributed 8 goals and 4 assists so far

Pedro Vite commands the midfield with 3 goals and 1 assist

门将

Keylor Navas guards the goal for Pumas and has kept 12 clean sheets

Luis Jiménez played in goal in 3 of the last 5 matches for Necaxa

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Olímpico de Universitario

Recent home games at this venue averaged 2.6 goals per match

Pumas' home advantage is supported by conceding only 1.14 goals per home game compared to 1.5 away

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