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Premier League

Nottingham Forest - Fulham

03/15/2026, 02:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Nottingham Forest
1.0
Total xG
2.7
Fulham
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

10%

0:2

10%

2:1

6%

1:3

5%
xG 分解
NFFUL

Nottingham Forest

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.63
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.10
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第12位, 相差6位)
-0.06
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.01
Omari Hutchinson 替补席 (1球, 3助攻)

Fulham

排名优势 (第12位 vs 第18位, 相差6位)
+0.05
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.00
Samuel Chukwueze替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Ryan Sessegnon替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Emile Smith Rowe未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

27%

客胜

52%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

48%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

73%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Fulham with 52%, with 1.67 expected goals compared to 1.00 for Forest
  • Fulham is significantly higher in the league table (12th place vs 18th place) and shows better form (3 wins vs 0 wins in the last 5 games)
  • Fulham has dominated the historical head-to-head encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 direct duels
风险因素
  • Nottingham Forest has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Fulham concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game
  • Nottingham Forest's goal production is currently stagnating (1.0) compared to their season average (1.4)
概述

Nottingham Forest (18th place, 28 points) host Fulham (12th place, 40 points) at The City Ground

Premier League match on March 15, 2026, 3:00 PM

Fulham aims for further improvement in the standings, while Forest needs points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Nottingham Forest showed form LLLDL in their last five games, meaning 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

The team's recent record is negative with a loss in the last game

Fulham's form in their last five matches is WWWLL, consisting of 3 wins and 2 losses

The last two games were lost, indicating a decline in form

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Nottingham Forest scores an average of 0.97 goals per game and concedes 1.48 goals

In home games, they score 1.0 goal and concede 1.46 goals per match

Fulham scores an average of 1.38 goals per game and concedes 1.48 goals

Away from home, Fulham scores 1.33 goals and concedes 2.08 goals per match

At The City Ground, an average of 1.4 goals per game were scored in the last five matches

Both teams scored in two out of five games (40% BTTS rate), and only one game had over 2.5 goals (20% Over 2.5 rate)

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nottingham Forest recorded 1 win and Fulham 4 wins, with no draws

Nottingham Forest scored 4 goals, while Fulham scored 10 goals

The last encounter was won by Fulham away with a 1-0 score on December 22, 2025

Fulham has dominated recent matchups

关键球员

For Nottingham Forest, Morgan Gibbs-White has 8 season goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 6.96

Callum Hudson-Odoi contributed 3 goals and 2 assists, his form is rising with a rating of 7.93 in the last 5 games

Elliot Anderson scored 2 goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 7.27 this season

Not nominated for Forest is Omari Hutchinson (1T/3A)

For Fulham, Harry Wilson is a key player with 9 goals and 6 assists and an average rating of 7.19

Raúl Jiménez has 8 goals and 3 assists, Alex Iwobi has 4 goals and 3 assists

Not nominated for Fulham are Samuel Chukwueze (3T/4A), Ryan Sessegnon (2T/1A), Emile Smith Rowe (3T/0A)

门将

Matz Sels is the goalkeeper for Nottingham Forest, with 0 goals and 0 assists in 22 season appearances

Bernd Leno is the goalkeeper for Fulham, with 29 season appearances, 0 goals and 0 assists

Nottingham Forest recorded 6 clean sheets this season, while Fulham achieved 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Nottingham Forest scored an average of 1.0 goals in home games and conceded 1.46 goals

Fulham conceded an average of 2.08 goals away but scored 1.33 goals

The grass surface at The City Ground will be the playing ground

At The City Ground, the average is 1.4 goals per game, BTTS rate at 40%, and Over 2.5 rate at 20%

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