Liga MX
Querétaro - Toluca
08/22/2026, 03:10 AM
预期进球
1.0
2.4
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
11%0:0
11%1:2
9%0:2
9%xG 分解
Querétaro
Toluca
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
25%
平局
30%
客胜
45%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
55%
客胜或平局
75%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Form trend: Querétaro shows a positive trend, scoring more recently (1.8 goals) than their season average of 1.2
- Tactical contrast: Querétaro has played counter-oriented with an average of 42% possession in recent matches, while Toluca dominated with an average of 64% possession
- Model prediction: The mathematical model calculates a 45% probability for an away win, with expected goals of 1.42 for Toluca
风险因素
- Struggling attack: Toluca's goal production is currently stalling at an average of 1.5 goals compared to their season average of 2.1
- Missing goal threat: Querétaro has to cope without the unlisted Mateo Coronel (5 goals)
- Limited data on duel statistics
概述
Querétaro hosts Toluca at Estadio La Corregidora
Liga MX match on August 22, 2026, 3:10 AM
Toluca sits 5th with 7 points, while Querétaro is right behind in 8th place with 7 points
A tight mid-table clash with both teams aiming to climb
近期状态
Querétaro shows solid form (WLWWD, W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Their last result was a 0-0 draw against Pumas UNAM
Toluca approaches the match with a LWLWD form
The visitors recently recorded a scoreless draw away at Atlante
统计数据
Querétaro averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per game this season
At home, they concede only 0.91 goals per match on average
Toluca shines offensively with 1.86 goals scored per game this season
On the road, the visitors average 1.88 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded
历史交锋
Toluca dominates the historical matchup with 3 wins in 4 meetings
Querétaro has managed only 1 victory so far
The goal difference stands at 10-1 in favor of Toluca
However, the last encounter ended in a 1-0 home victory for Querétaro
关键球员
Forward Alí Ávila is the main threat for Querétaro with 11 goals this season
Defender Santiago Homenchenko has contributed 6 goals with a season rating of 7.09
Carlo Adriano García Prades anchors the midfield with an average rating of 6.70
Not in the home lineup: Mateo Coronel (5 goals)
Alexis Vega orchestrates Toluca's attack with 4 goals and 12 assists
Helinho is highly dangerous with 9 goals and 6 assists this season
Defender Federico Pereira impresses with a strong average rating of 6.98
Not in the away lineup: Jorge Díaz (2 goals, 3 assists) and Santiago Simón (3 assists)
门将
Guillermo Allison starts in goal for the hosts, holding a solid season average rating of 6.95
Querétaro has recorded 8 clean sheets overall this season
Hugo González guards the goal for Toluca with a season rating of 6.81
The visitors have registered 13 clean sheets in this campaign
影响因素
The match takes place at Estadio La Corregidora on a natural grass pitch
Stadium history shows a high-scoring trend with an average of 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches here, while 60% featured over 2.5 goals
Home advantage is supported by a stable defense, conceding only 0.91 goals per home game