Liga MX
Guadalajara - Tijuana
08/22/2026, 11:07 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.8
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
Guadalajara
Tijuana
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
59%
平局
25%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
41%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance: Guadalajara averaged 60.4% possession and 6.4 shots on target per match recently
- Defensive advantage: Guadalajara concedes only 0.79 goals per home game, contrasting Tijuana's away difficulties
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a 59% probability for a home win
风险因素
- Weakened squad: Guadalajara plays without Bryan Alonso González Oliván (6 goals, 5 assists) and Richard Ledezma (1 goal, 8 assists)
- Away defensive issues: Tijuana concedes an average of 2.36 goals per away match this season
- Low scoring venue: Estadio AKRON historically averages only 1.2 goals per match with 0% Over 2.5 rate
概述
Guadalajara hosts Tijuana at the Estadio AKRON
Liga MX match on August 22, 2026, 11:07 PM
Tijuana is in 3rd place with 10 points, while Guadalajara is in 10th with 7 points
近期状态
Guadalajara has a form of LLWDW, coming off a 1-0 win against Santos Laguna
Guadalajara's recent goal production has slowed to 0.8 goals per match compared to their 1.8 season average
Tijuana is unbeaten in their last 5 games with a form of DWWDW
Tijuana is currently scoring more frequently with 2.0 goals compared to their 1.7 season average
统计数据
Guadalajara averages 1.75 goals scored and only 0.79 goals conceded at home
Tijuana scores 1.5 goals on the road but concedes a high average of 2.36 goals per away match
Tijuana has managed only 3 clean sheets in away games this season
历史交锋
Even historical record with 1 win each and 2 draws in 4 head-to-head matches
The last match on April 26, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw
Total goals in direct duels stand at 7-8 in favor of Tijuana
关键球员
Roberto Alvarado has 4 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 7.26
Santiago Sandoval has recorded 6 goals and 1 assist this season
Ricardo Marín contributes with 3 goals and 2 assists
门将
Raúl Rangel has 34 appearances, a 6.9 average rating, and 14 clean sheets
Antonio Rodríguez has 37 appearances, a 7.2 average rating, and 13 clean sheets
影响因素
Played on artificial turf where Guadalajara has a record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Tijuana has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss on artificial turf
Estadio AKRON averages only 1.2 goals per match with a 0% BTTS rate in recent games