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Liga MX

Puebla - Santos Laguna

08/23/2026, 01:00 AM

3 : 2
预期进球
Puebla
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Santos Laguna
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

11%

0:1

10%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
PUESL

Puebla

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.34
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
-0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
Emiliano Gómez替补席 (8球, 5助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Santos Laguna

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.60
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.43
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
排名优势 (第11位 vs 第18位, 相差7位)
+0.04
Lucas Di Yorio未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Ramiro Sordo替补席 (2球, 4助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

33%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

67%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Inertia gap: Puebla is on a positive trend while Santos Laguna enters heavily shaken after 4 consecutive losses
  • Disastrous away defense: Santos Laguna concedes a worrying average of 3.14 goals per away match
  • Significant squad reduction: Key players Lucas Di Yorio (6 goals, 3 assists) and Ramiro Sordo (2 goals, 4 assists) are not in the lineup for Santos Laguna
风险因素
  • Home offensive deficit: Emiliano Gómez is missing for Puebla taking away 33% of their seasonal goals
  • Defensive vulnerability: Puebla concedes 2.00 goals per game on average while Santos Laguna concedes 1.94
  • Low expected goals in model: The mathematical prediction estimates only a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals
概述

Puebla hosts Santos Laguna at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Liga MX match on August 23, 2026, 3:00 AM

A clash between 8th-placed Puebla with 7 points and 17th-placed Santos Laguna with 0 points

気づPuebla aims to secure their top-half spot while the visitors desperately seek their first points of the season

近期状态

Puebla enters with a LWLDW form-string and recorded a 3-2 away win against Pachuca in their last match

Santos Laguna shows a WLLLL form-curve with four consecutive defeats

Explanation of form codes: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

The hosts have recorded 2 wins and 1 draw recently while the visitors have 1 win and 4 losses

统计数据

Puebla averages 1.00 scored goals and 2.00 conceded goals per match this season

Santos Laguna averages 1.24 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded per game

Santos Laguna's away struggles are visible with 3.14 goals conceded on average on the road

Puebla concedes an average of 1.60 goals in their home fixtures

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head encounters Puebla has secured 3 wins compared to 1 win for Santos Laguna

The goal difference in these direct matches stands at 5-2 in favor of Puebla

Their last meeting on March 22, 2026, ended in a 2-1 home victory for Santos Laguna

Puebla has been the historically dominant side in recent meetings

关键球员

Carlos Baltazar is a key midfielder for Puebla with 4 goals and 3 assists this season

Ezequiel Bullaude leads Santos Laguna's midfield with 5 goals and 4 assists

Fernando Monárrez recently scored 1 goal in his last 5 defensive outings for Puebla

Aldo López solidifies the visitors' midfield with 4 goals this season

Kevin Velasco contributed 3 assists in 14 appearances for the home side

Fran Villalba completes Santos Laguna's midfield options with 3 goals this season

门将

Daniel Gutiérrez guards Puebla's goal with an average rating of 6.91

Carlos Acevedo plays in goal for Santos Laguna with a season rating of 6.93

Both goalkeepers have recorded 6 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

The game will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Stadium records indicate an average of 2.4 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate

Puebla benefits from playing at home where Santos Laguna has historically struggled defensively

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