Liga MX
Necaxa - Cruz Azul
08/29/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
28%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance: Cruz Azul averaged 6.8 shots on target with 58.6% possession in recent matches
- H2H history: Cruz Azul won 3 of the last 4 direct encounters against Necaxa, with a goal difference of 11-3
- Balanced prediction: The mathematical model predicts a close game with 1.45 expected goals for Necaxa and 1.41 for Cruz Azul
风险因素
- Squad impact: Luka Romero is missing from the visitors' squad, leaving only 85% of regular goal threat available
- Negative trend: Cruz Azul lost their last three league matches in a row
- Away vulnerability: Cruz Azul conceded an average of 1.30 goals per away game this season
概述
Necaxa host Cruz Azul at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Liga MX match on August 29, 2026, 3:00 AM
Necaxa is in 11th place with 7 points, while Cruz Azul sits in 12th place with 6 points
Both teams are positioned closely in the mid-table
近期状态
Necaxa form: WWLLD - 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses
Cruz Azul form: WWLLL - 2 wins, 3 consecutive losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Necaxa recently secured a 1-1 draw against Pumas UNAM
Cruz Azul lost their last three league matches, most recently 0-2 against Atlas
统计数据
Necaxa scores an average of 1.26 goals per game and concedes 1.68
Cruz Azul has a stronger offense with 1.77 goals per game and concedes an average of only 1.09
In home matches, Necaxa scored 21 goals in 17 games
Cruz Azul scored an average of 1.80 goals per away game this season
历史交锋
Cruz Azul dominates the historical matchups with 3 wins from 4 games
No wins for Necaxa, with 1 draw between them
The goal difference stands at 11-3 in favor of Cruz Azul
The last direct meeting ended in a clear 4-1 victory for Cruz Azul on April 27, 2026
关键球员
Julián Carranza is the top attacker with 4 goals in 4 appearances and a 7.37 rating
Danny Leyva contributes a strong average rating of 7.14 in midfield
Matías Espíndola scored 1 goal in 3 appearances for the team
Jeremy Márquez shines with 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games
Agustín Palavecino achieves an average rating of 7.12 in midfield
José Paradela provided 1 assist in 5 games
门将
Luis Jiménez appeared 5 times this season, securing 3 home clean sheets
Kevin Mier guarded the goal in 4 matches, recording 4 away clean sheets
The goalkeeper duel statistically suggests solid defensive potential
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Necaxa conceded an average of 1.00 goals per home game across 17 matches
The venue history shows an average of 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of matches played at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes