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Liga MX

Santos Laguna - Tigres UANL

08/30/2026, 03:10 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Santos Laguna
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Tigres UANL
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
SLTU

Santos Laguna

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.54
防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.47
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.34
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.11
50%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Tigres UANL

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.35
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.11
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.11
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

29%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Historical dominance: Tigres UANL won all 4 direct duels with a goal difference of 12:1
  • Tactical superiority: Tigres UANL dominated recent matches with an average of 57% possession, while Santos Laguna averaged only 2.8 shots on target
  • Limited goal threat: According to squad analysis, only 11% of the visitors' seasonal goal production is currently active
风险因素
  • Offensive weakness: Santos Laguna averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Away defensive vulnerability: Tigres UANL concedes an average of 1.87 goals per away game
概述

Santos Laguna (17th place, 0 points) host Tigres UANL (15th place, 4 points) at Estadio Nuevo Corona

Liga MX match on August 30, 2026, 3:10 AM

Both teams are near the bottom of the table and urgently need points

近期状态

Santos Laguna is in extremely weak form (LLLLL, L = Loss) with 5 consecutive defeats

Tigres UANL showed slight improvement recently (LDLLW, W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

The recent form trend is negative for both sides

统计数据

Santos Laguna scores an average of 1.24 goals and concedes 1.94 goals per game this season

Tigres UANL averages 1.79 goals scored while conceding only 1.05 goals per game

The visitors show a stronger defense, while Santos Laguna remains defensively vulnerable

历史交锋

Clear record in direct duels with 4 wins for Tigres UANL in 4 matches

Goal difference of 1:12 is heavily against Santos Laguna

The last duel ended in a clear 1:5 away win for Tigres UANL

关键球员

Fran Villalba, Ezequiel Bullaude with one goal, and goalkeeper Carlos Acevedo are key performers for the hosts

Juan Brunetta with three goals and three assists, along with Diego Sánchez and Joaquim Henrique Pereira Silva, shape the visitors' game

门将

Carlos Acevedo starting in goal for the hosts has an average rating of 7.22

Nahuel Guzmán guards the visitors' goal with a season average rating of 6.44

Statistically, Carlos Acevedo shows more stable performances this term

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at Estadio Nuevo Corona

Santos Laguna's home record stands at an average of 1.25 goals scored at home

The average total goals at this stadium is historically low at 1.6 goals per game

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