🇲🇽

Liga MX

América - Puebla

08/30/2026, 01:05 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
América
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Puebla
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
AMÉPUE

América

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.40
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.19
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.08
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.05
Henry Martin替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
Raphael Veiga替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Kevin Álvarez替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Isaías Violante替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
82%进球产出缺失 (仅22%可用)

Puebla

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.72
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.49
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.17
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.07

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

27%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

73%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact: América has only 22% of their goal threat available with Henry Martin, Raphael Veiga, Kevin Álvarez, and Isaías Violante missing
  • Tactical dominance: América averaged 7.2 shots on target and 58% possession in recent matches
  • Away defense struggles: Puebla conceded an average of 2.57 goals per away game this season
风险因素
  • Defensive issues on the road: Puebla concedes an average of 2.57 goals per away game
  • Limited data regarding injured or suspended players for the away team
概述

América hosts Puebla at the Estadio Banorte

League leaders face the 7th-placed team in Liga MX

Match on August 30, 2026, 3:05 AM

América aims to defend their top position

近期状态

América is unbeaten in 5 games with a form of WDWWW

They won their last match 2-1 against Juárez

Puebla shows a form of WLDWW

The visitors won their last game 3-2 against Santos Laguna

Form-Strings: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

América scores an average of 1.61 goals and concedes 1.16 goals per season

Puebla averages 1.00 goal scored and 2.00 goals conceded per match

In home matches América concedes only 0.95 goals on average

Puebla concedes an average of 2.57 goals per away game

The average total goals at this venue is 2.0 goals per game

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches recorded

América leads with 3 wins to Puebla's 1 win

The last match ended in a clear 4-0 away victory for América on February 21, 2026

Overall goal difference is 8-3 in favor of América

关键球员

Dagoberto Espinoza (Defender) has 2 assists and a season rating of 7.04

Óscar Perea (Attacker) scored 1 goal in 2 games with a 6.69 rating

Eduardo Mustre Torres (Attacker) scored 3 goals this season with a 7.07 rating

门将

Fernando Tapia has played 1 match for América with a 6.89 rating

América has kept 11 clean sheets this season

Daniel Gutiérrez played 5 matches for Puebla with a 6.95 rating

Puebla has 6 clean sheets overall this season

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estadio Banorte

Average goals at this venue stand at 2.0 per match

América recorded 7 home clean sheets this season

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。