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Premier League

West Ham United - Manchester City

03/14/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
West Ham United
1.2
Total xG
3.0
Manchester City
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

8%

2:1

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
WHUMC

West Ham United

排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第2位, 相差16位)
-0.21
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.03
Crysencio Summerville未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
11%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Manchester City

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.57
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.23
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.19
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第18位, 相差16位)
+0.13
Rúben Dias 替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.5球 vs 总体2.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

24%

平局

26%

客胜

50%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

50%

客胜或平局

76%

非平局

74%

双方进球

60%

41%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: Manchester City has a 50% win probability
  • Historical dominance: Manchester City has won all 5 head-to-head encounters
  • Form and table position: Man City (2nd place) with strong offense (Avg. 2.03 goals) meets West Ham (18th place) with vulnerable defense (Avg. 1.86 goals conceded)
风险因素
  • Manchester City has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • West Ham United shows a positive form trend
  • Manchester City's goal production is currently stagnant (1.6 goals), with a season average of 2.2
概述

West Ham United (18th place, 28 points) host Manchester City (2nd place, 60 points) at the London Stadium

Premier League match on March 14, 2026, 9:00 PM

The Hammers are battling against relegation, while Manchester City are chasing Arsenal (1st place, 67 points) at the top of the table

The mathematical analysis sees Manchester City as the clear favorite for this match with a 50% win probability

近期状态

West Ham United currently shows the form W-D-L-W-D (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

The home team's current form is described as positive

Manchester City's form is W-W-D-W-L (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) across all competitions

The away team's current form is rated as negative

统计数据

West Ham United has scored an average of 1.21 goals and conceded 1.86 goals per game this season

Their home record shows 1.21 goals scored and 1.93 goals conceded at their own stadium

Manchester City has a season average of 2.03 goals per game and conceded 0.93 goals

Away from home, Manchester City scored an average of 2.09 goals and conceded 1.45 goals

The home team kept 4 clean sheets, while the away team achieved 12 clean sheets

Manchester City's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.6 goals, with a season average of 2.2

West Ham United is currently scoring more frequently (1.5 goals) than their season average (1.3 goals)

The London Stadium averages 2.6 goals per game

In 4 out of 5 games at the London Stadium, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City completely dominated

Manchester City won all 5 encounters against West Ham United

The goal difference in these matches is 4:16 in favor of Manchester City

The last meeting on December 20, 2025, ended with a 3-0 victory for Manchester City

Manchester City was clearly the dominant team in recent encounters

关键球员

For West Ham United, Jarrod Bowen is an important attacker with 8 season goals and 5 assists, his form is stable

Tomáš Souček shows rising form with 4 goals and 0 assists, scoring 1 goal in his last 5 games

Mateus Fernandes contributed 3 goals and 3 assists, his form is stable

On Manchester City's side, Erling Haaland is the top attacker with 22 season goals and 7 assists, his form is rising with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Antoine Semenyo contributed 5 goals and 1 assist, but did not play in the last 5 matches

Nico O'Reilly scored 4 season goals and 3 assists, his form is rising and he scored 1 goal in his last 5 games

门将

West Ham United's goalkeeper Mads Hermansen has played in 9 games

Manchester City's goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has made 26 appearances

The home team achieved 4 clean sheets this season

The away team kept a clean sheet in 12 games

影响因素

Manchester City is offensively strong away from home with an average of 2.09 goals per game

West Ham United concedes an average of 1.93 home goals per game at the London Stadium

The London Stadium tends to favor high-scoring games with an average of 2.6 goals per match

In 80% of games at the London Stadium, both teams score, and in 60%, over 2.5 goals are scored

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