Liga MX
Pachuca - Guadalajara
08/29/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.8
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Pachuca
Guadalajara
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
28%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Head-to-head dominance: Guadalajara won all 4 previous matches against Pachuca
- Tactical dominance: Guadalajara averaged 6.6 shots on target in recent matches
- Rondón's threat: Salomón Rondón is in strong form with 5 goals in 5 games for Pachuca
风险因素
- Critical squad impact: Guadalajara only has 10% of its seasonal goal contribution available
- Defensive vulnerability away: Guadalajara concede an average of 1.88 goals per away match
- Pachuca's low target volume: The hosts averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
概述
Pachuca host Guadalajara at the Estadio Hidalgo
Liga MX match on August 29, 2026, 11:00 PM
Pachuca sit in 14th place with 4 points
Guadalajara occupy 5th place with 10 points
The mathematical model predicts a 41% win probability for the away team
近期状态
Pachuca's form is WLLLD with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Guadalajara's form is LWDWW with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Pachuca's scoring form remains stable according to advanced metrics
Guadalajara's form trend is classified as negative despite recent results
统计数据
Pachuca average 1.35 goals scored per match this season
Guadalajara average 1.75 goals scored per game
Pachuca concede an average of 0.90 goals per home match
Guadalajara concede an average of 1.88 goals per away game
历史交锋
Guadalajara dominate the head-to-head history with 4 wins in 4 matches
The goal difference stands at 7:1 in favor of the visitors
The last direct meeting ended in a 2:0 victory for Guadalajara
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
关键球员
Salomón Rondón is Pachuca's top scorer with 5 goals in 5 games
Roberto Alvarado leads the visitors with 3 goals and 1 assist
Santiago Sandoval scored 4 goals in recent matches for Guadalajara
门将
Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna has a 7.19 rating in 5 games for Pachuca
Raúl Rangel has a 6.86 rating in 5 games for Guadalajara
Pachuca recorded 10 clean sheets this season
Guadalajara secured 14 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Hidalgo
The stadium features a historical average of 2.6 goals per match
The venue's BTTS rate stands at 60%