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Liga MX

Tijuana - Pumas UNAM

08/29/2026, 03:10 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Tijuana
1.5
Total xG
2.6
Pumas UNAM
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
TIJPU

Tijuana

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.10
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.05
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.02

Pumas UNAM

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.42倍)
-1.05
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.75
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.04
Juninho替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
42%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

29%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

71%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Strong home record: Tijuana concedes only 0.57 goals per game on average in their own stadium
  • Mathematical advantage: The prediction model forecasts a home win with a probability of 45%
  • Artificial turf experience: Tijuana holds a solid home record of 5 wins in 10 matches on synthetic grass
风险因素
  • Missing key player: Juninho (3 goals) is not in the lineup for Pumas UNAM
  • Declining defense: Tijuana's average goals conceded rose recently from 1.43 to 1.75 in their last matches
  • Low attacking precision: Both teams averaged fewer than 3.7 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Tijuana hosts Pumas UNAM at the Estadio Caliente

Liga MX match on August 29, 2026, 5:10 AM

Only two points separate the teams in the standings

Tijuana occupies 6th place with 10 points

Pumas UNAM is in 9th position with 8 points

近期状态

Tijuana's recent form across all competitions is WWDWL

Their last match ended in a 2-5 defeat against Guadalajara

Pumas UNAM travel with a form curve of LWWDD

The visitors recently recorded a 1-1 draw against Necaxa

Pumas UNAM have drawn two consecutive matches

统计数据

Tijuana scores an average of 1.46 goals per game this season

Their home defense is strong with only 0.57 goals conceded per match

Pumas UNAM average 1.63 goals scored per match overall

The away team concedes 1.50 goals per game on the road

Tijuana's home venue averages 2.6 goals per game

历史交锋

Pumas UNAM won 2 of the last 4 direct matches

Tijuana secured 1 victory while 1 game ended in a draw

The most recent encounter between these teams ended in a 1-1 draw

The overall goal difference stands at 8-6 in favor of Pumas UNAM

关键球员

Mourad El Ghezouani has scored 2 goals this season

Gilberto Mora contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in midfield

Adonis Preciado registered 1 assist this season

Robert Morales recorded 1 goal and 3 assists

Víctor Arteaga has scored 1 goal this season

Adalberto Carrasquilla contributed 1 assist in midfield

门将

Antonio Rodríguez has been in goal for 5 matches this season

He boasts a total of 13 clean sheets throughout the season

Keylor Navas has also been on the pitch for multiple games

He has recorded 12 clean sheets in total

影响因素

The match will be played on artificial turf

Tijuana has a home record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses on this surface

Pumas UNAM has recorded 2 draws from 2 matches on synthetic turf

Tijuana's defensive stability is enhanced by their home environment

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