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Liga MX

Atlante - León

08/29/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Atlante
1.3
Total xG
2.6
León
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
ATLLEÓ

Atlante

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.78
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.52
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.22
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
L. Calzadilla未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)

León

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.41
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.08
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.07
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
+0.04
Daniel Arcila替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Jordi Cortizo替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
61%进球产出缺失 (仅58%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

29%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Form advantage for the visitors: León enters with a three-game winning streak, while Atlante comes off a 0-2 loss
  • León's improved attack: The visitors currently score more frequently (1.4 goals per match recently) than their season average (1.1)
  • Tactical metrics: León recently averaged 5.6 shots on target, whereas Atlante plays counter-oriented with 37.8% possession
风险因素
  • Daniel Arcila and Jordi Cortizo are missing, leaving only 59% of León's active goal threat available
  • Weak away defense: León concedes an extremely high average of 4.11 goals per away match
  • Atlante's goal struggle: The home side failed to score in 2 out of 5 matches this season
概述

Atlante (13th place, 5 points) host León (8th place, 9 points) at the Estadio Banorte

Liga MX match on August 29, 2026, 3:00 AM

A mid-table clash with a slight advantage for the visitors

近期状态

Atlante shows mixed form with one win, two draws, and two losses (LDWDL)

León arrives with a streak of three consecutive wins (LLWWW)

The visitors recorded three wins and two losses in their last five matches

统计数据

Atlante averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match

León averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded over the season

León is highly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 4.11 goals per away match

关键球员

For Atlante, Jhojan Julio (1 goal, 2 assists, 7.09 rating) and Eugenio Pizzuto (2 goals, 6.9 rating) lead the midfield

Luis Fernando Puente Prado leads Atlante's attack with one season goal

Not nominated is L. Calzadilla (1 goal, 1 assist)

León relies on attacker Díber Cambindo (1 goal, 1 assist, 7.08 rating)

He is supported by Fernando Beltrán (1 assist, 7.03 rating) and Juan Domínguez (1 goal)

门将

Óscar Jiménez guards the goal for Atlante with a strong 7.28 average rating

Óscar García starts for León, holding a 7.23 average rating

León recorded 6 clean sheets this season, while Atlante has 1

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Banorte

Atlante's home advantage could play a role despite having played only one home match (1-1) so far

The stadium averages 2.6 goals per game historically

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