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Liga MX

Atlas - Querétaro

08/29/2026, 11:00 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Atlas
1.3
Total xG
2.6
Querétaro
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
ATLQUE

Atlas

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-1.03
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.78
防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.16
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.07
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第11位, 相差8位)
+0.05

Querétaro

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.22
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.19
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第3位, 相差8位)
-0.11
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.09
10%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

30%

客胜

35%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

65%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

70%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Form trend: Atlas enters the match in strong form with four wins in their last five games (WWLWW)
  • Tactical approach: Atlas averaged 4.2 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Away vulnerability: Querétaro conceded an average of 2.50 goals per away match this season
风险因素
  • Tight prediction: The mathematical analysis estimates an extremely close match with a 35% win probability for both teams
  • Tactical threat: Querétaro plays counter-oriented football, averaging only 40% possession in recent games to exploit quick transitions
概述

Atlas in third place with 12 points host Querétaro in eleventh place with 7 points at Estadio Jalisco

Liga MX match on August 29, 2026, 5:00 PM

A clash between the third-placed team and the mid-table visitors

近期状态

Atlas shows strong form with four wins and one loss (WWLWW)

Querétaro has two wins, one draw, and two losses (LWWDL)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atlas scored an average of 1.17 goals per match this season

Querétaro concedes an average of 1.47 goals per game

The visitors conceded an average of 2.50 goals in away games

Atlas scored an average of 1.17 goals in their home matches

历史交锋

Four head-to-head matches on record

Even record with one win for each team and two draws

The last encounter ended in a scoreless 0:0 draw

关键球员

Édgar Zaldívar impresses in midfield with 2 goals and a 7.25 rating

Arturo González contributed 1 goal and 1 assist this season

Manuel Capasso stabilizes the defense with a 7.22 rating and 1 goal scored

Alí Ávila leads the visitors' attack with 3 goals scored

Santiago Homenchenko shines in defense with 2 goals and a 7.37 rating

Bayron Duarte provided 1 assist so far

门将

Camilo Vargas starts in goal for Atlas with an average rating of 7.25

The home team has kept 10 clean sheets this season

Guillermo Allison guards the goal for Querétaro with an average rating of 6.82

The visitors have registered 8 clean sheets so far this term

影响因素

Atlas benefits from home advantage at Estadio Jalisco with 7 home clean sheets this season

The pitch features a grass surface

The historical goal rate at the stadium averages 2.6 goals per game

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