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Liga MX

Monterrey - Atlético San Luis

08/31/2026, 02:10 AM

1 : 3
预期进球
Monterrey
1.7
Total xG
2.8
Atlético San Luis
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
MONASL

Monterrey

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.25倍)
+0.35
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-0.22
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.20
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.20
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.07
排名优势 (第9位 vs 第16位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Lucas Ocampos替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Diego Rossi替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Orbelín Pineda替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Hugo Cuypers替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Jesús Corona替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
80%进球产出缺失 (仅10%可用)

Atlético San Luis

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.35
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.13
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第9位, 相差7位)
-0.08
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

27%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

73%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Severe selection crisis for Monterrey: only 11% of the typical goal threat is active due to the absence of key players Lucas Ocampos, Diego Rossi, Orbelín Pineda, Hugo Cuypers, and Jesús Corona
  • Attacking edge: Monterrey recently averaged 6.6 shots on target with 54.2% possession
  • Leaky defense: Atlético San Luis concede an average of 1.67 goals in away matches and remain winless on the road this season
风险因素
  • The massive squad depletion with 5 unlisted starter assets puts Monterrey's favourites label under heavy threat
  • Atlético San Luis's vulnerable away statistics showing 1.67 goals conceded per road match jeopardize the visitors' chances
概述

Monterrey host Atlético San Luis at Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Liga MX match on August 31, 2026, 2:10 AM

Monterrey sit in 9th place with 9 points while the visitors occupy 16th place with 3 points

近期状态

Monterrey form: WLWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team suffered a 0-2 defeat against León in their last outing

Atlético San Luis form: LDDLD

The guests remain without a win in their last 5 fixtures

统计数据

Monterrey score an average of 1.62 goals and concede 1.10 at home

Atlético San Luis score an average of 1.44 goals and concede 1.67 away

Both teams scored in 20 of Monterrey's 38 total matches this season

历史交锋

5 head-to-head matches played in total

Monterrey lead the historical balance with 3 wins compared to 2 for Atlético San Luis

The latest match on April 4, 2026 ended in a 1-2 victory for Atlético San Luis

关键球员

Luca Orellano has registered 1 goal with a season rating of 7.02

Sébastien Salles-Lamonge contributed 1 goal with a high rating of 7.42

David Rodríguez has scored 1 goal with an overall rating of 7.04

门将

Luis Cárdenas has played 5 games for Monterrey with an average rating of 6.74

Andrés Sánchez guarded the net in 5 games for Atlético San Luis with a rating of 6.59

影响因素

Home advantage for Monterrey on the grass turf of Estadio BBVA Bancomer

The stadium history averages a high total of 3.8 goals per match

The prediction model estimates a home win probability of 49%

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