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Liga MX

Tigres UANL - Necaxa

09/06/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Tigres UANL
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Necaxa
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
TUNEC

Tigres UANL

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.20
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.17
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.11
26%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)

Necaxa

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.76
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.63
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.35
+0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

29%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Defensive home strength vs weak away defense: Tigres concede only 0.59 goals at home while Necaxa concede an average of 2.35 goals per away match
  • Tactical possession dominance: Tigres averaged 55.2% possession in recent matches
  • Historical advantage: Tigres UANL remain undefeated in the last 5 head-to-head meetings against Necaxa
风险因素
  • Struggling home offense: Tigres average 1.8 goals recently compared to their season average of 2.0
  • Necaxa's away weakness: The visitors concede an average of 2.35 goals per away game
概述

Tigres UANL host Necaxa at the Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León

Liga MX match on September 6, 2026, 2:00 AM

Tigres UANL are in 16th place with 5 points

Necaxa currently sit in 13th place with 7 points

Both teams are looking to escape the lower section of the table

近期状态

Tigres UANL form is DLLWD with 1 win and 2 draws in their last 5 matches

Necaxa form is WLLDL with 1 win and 1 draw

Tigres drew 0-0 away at Santos Laguna in their last match

Necaxa suffered a 1-3 home defeat against Cruz Azul in their last outing

统计数据

Tigres UANL average 1.79 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded overall

Necaxa average 1.26 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded overall

Tigres show strong defensive values at home conceding only 0.59 goals per match

Necaxa struggle on the road conceding an average of 2.35 goals per away game

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches between these teams

Tigres UANL registered 2 home wins while Necaxa are winless with 3 draws

The total goal score stands at 10-7 in favor of Tigres

Their last match on April 18, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

Juan Brunetta is key in Tigres' midfield with 3 goals and 3 assists

Rodrigo Aguirre contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in attack for the hosts

Julián Carranza leads Necaxa's offense with 4 goals and 1 assist

门将

Nahuel Guzmán starts in goal for Tigres and has kept 14 clean sheets this season

Luis Jiménez represents Necaxa with 4 clean sheets this campaign

影响因素

Home advantage favors Tigres who concede only 0.59 goals per game on home soil

The Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León has averaged 4.2 goals per game historically

The game will be played on a grass pitch

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