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Liga MX

Juárez - Pachuca

09/05/2026, 03:00 AM

0 : 2
预期进球
Juárez
1.2
Total xG
2.6
Pachuca
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
JUÁPAC

Juárez

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.46
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.24
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.14

Pachuca

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.17
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.12
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.08
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.37
+0.37
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

29%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Pachuca's goalscorer advantage: Salomón Rondón leads the attack with 6 goals this season
  • Severe form crisis for Juárez: The home team lost their last 5 matches and recently conceded an average of 3.6 goals per game
  • Juárez's offensive inefficiency: The hosts averaged only 1.8 shots on target per match in recent games
风险因素
  • Pachuca's stalling goal production: The visitors recently averaged only 1.0 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.4
  • Pachuca's away vulnerability: The team concedes an average of 1.32 goals per away game while scoring the same amount
  • Juárez's historical home advantage in head-to-head: Juárez remained dominant at home with 2 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 meetings
概述

Juárez hosts Pachuca at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Liga MX match on September 5, 2026, 3:00 AM

Bottom-of-the-table clash between 18th-placed Juárez (0 points) and 15th-placed Pachuca (5 points)

近期状态

Juárez is in a deep crisis with form LLLLL

Pachuca is also winless in their last five games with form LLLDD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Pachuca managed to secure two consecutive draws recently

统计数据

Juárez conceded an average of 1.74 goals per match this season

Pachuca scored 1.35 goals and conceded 1.1 goals on average per game

Juárez averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded in home matches

历史交锋

5 total head-to-head matches between the teams

Juárez with 2 wins, Pachuca with 1 win, and 2 draws

The last match ended in a 2-0 victory for Pachuca

关键球员

Óscar Estupiñán scored 2 goals for Juárez this season

José Luis Rodríguez contributed 1 goal and 2 assists for the home side

Salomón Rondón is Pachuca's top scorer with 6 goals this season

门将

Sebastián Jurado guards the goal for Juárez with 3 clean sheets this season

Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna plays for Pachuca and kept 10 clean sheets

Pachuca's goalkeeper has also scored 1 goal this season

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

The venue averages 3.2 total goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of the games at this stadium

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