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Liga MX

Atlas - Atlante

09/06/2026, 03:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Atlas
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Atlante
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
ATLATL

Atlas

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.25
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.14
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第15位, 相差11位)
+0.08
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.04
Édgar Zaldívar未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Duk替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

Atlante

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.42
防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.21
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第4位, 相差11位)
-0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.06

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.35
+0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

29%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Tactical efficiency: Atlante averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches despite having only 40.2% average possession
  • Table advantage: Atlas starts in 4th place with 12 points, significantly better positioned than Atlante in 15th place with 6 points
  • Mathematical trend: The model estimates a 68% probability for a home win or draw
风险因素
  • Édgar Zaldívar and Duk are missing for Atlas, leaving only 60% of the usual goal threat available in the squad
  • Declining offensive output for Atlas, averaging just 1.2 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.3
  • Away defensive vulnerability for Atlante, conceding an average of 1.50 goals per away match
概述

Atlas (4th place, 12 points) host Atlante (15th place, 6 points) at the Estadio Jalisco

Liga MX match on September 6, 2026, 5:00 AM

The hosts head into this clash as the favored side

近期状态

Atlas with a form of WLWWL in recent matches

The home team recorded 3 wins and 2 losses

Last result was a loss

Atlante shows a form of DWDLD

The visitors secured 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

统计数据

Atlas scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.58 goals this season

At home, they average 1.17 goals scored and 1.09 goals conceded

Atlante scores an average of 1.00 goal and concedes 1.33 goals

In away games, Atlante concedes an average of 1.50 goals

Matches at this venue average 3.4 goals per game

关键球员

Arturo González with an average rating of 7.11, scoring 1 goal and providing 1 assist

Luís André Leite Esteves has 1 goal with a rating of 6.71

Manuel Capasso anchors the lineup with a rating of 7.02 and 1 goal scored

Jhojan Julio stands out with 1 goal, 2 assists, and a rating of 7.05

Eugenio Pizzuto has already scored 2 goals with a rating of 6.91

L. Calzadilla contributed 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.00

门将

Camilo Vargas is in goal for Atlas with a rating of 7.01

Atlas has recorded 10 clean sheets overall this season

Óscar Jiménez is in goal for Atlante with a rating of 7.29

Atlante has recorded 1 clean sheet so far

影响因素

The match will be played at the Estadio Jalisco on grass

This venue averages high-scoring games with 3.4 goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of the games here

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