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Liga MX

Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna

09/06/2026, 11:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Cruz Azul
1.8
Total xG
2.9
Santos Laguna
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
CASL

Cruz Azul

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.29倍)
+0.74
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.48
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第10位 vs 第17位, 相差7位)
+0.06
José Paradela替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Santos Laguna

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.54
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.33
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.20
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
-0.08
44%进球产出缺失 (仅52%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.33
+0.33
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

26%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

74%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • CRITICAL: Santos Laguna is playing with only 53% of their usual starting XI strength
  • Cruz Azul averaged a strong 6.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • The mathematical model predicts a home win with a 52% probability
风险因素
  • Santos Laguna's goal production is stagnant, averaging only 0.5 goals in recent matches
  • Santos Laguna struggles defensively on the road, conceding 3.14 goals per away game
概述

Cruz Azul (10th place, 9 points) host Santos Laguna (17th place, 1 point)

Match on September 6, 2026, 11:00 PM at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc

The home side enters this Liga MX clash as the clear favorite

近期状态

Cruz Azul shows a recent form of WLLLW

Santos Laguna is still searching for their first win of the season with a form of LLLLD

The visitors have only earned one point from their last 5 matches

统计数据

Santos Laguna concedes an average of 3.14 goals per away game this season

Cruz Azul scores 1.75 goals per home match on average

Cruz Azul has kept 8 clean sheets in 24 home matches

历史交锋

Cruz Azul won all of the last 4 head-to-head matches

The goal difference stands at 8:3 in favor of the home side

The last encounter ended in a 2:1 victory for Cruz Azul

关键球员

Carlos Rodríguez has registered 4 assists so far this season

Jeremy Márquez stands out with 3 goals and an average rating of 7.31

Not in squad for Cruz Azul is José Paradela

门将

Carlos Acevedo starts for Santos Laguna boasting a solid seasonal rating of 7.21

Kevin Mier represents Cruz Azul with an average rating of 6.77

Santos Laguna has recorded 6 clean sheets overall this season

影响因素

Matches at Estadio Cuauhtémoc averaged 3.2 total goals over 5 games

The grass surface provides standard playing conditions

The historic BTTS rate at this venue stands at 80%

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