Liga MX
Atlético San Luis - Guadalajara
09/05/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.7
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Atlético San Luis
Guadalajara
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
29%
平局
29%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Guadalajara recently dominated possession with 64% and averaged 6.8 shots on target in their last matches
- The mathematical model favors an away win for Guadalajara with a 42% probability
- The expected goals calculation projects 1.48 goals for Guadalajara compared to 1.19 for the home side
风险因素
- Guadalajara shows defensive vulnerability away from home conceding an average of 1.88 goals per match
- The active goal contribution share in the Guadalajara squad is extremely low at only 11%
- Limited dataset regarding the squad impact of Atlético San Luis
概述
Atlético San Luis hosts Guadalajara at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez
Liga MX match on September 5, 2026, 11:00 PM
The home side sits 14th with 6 points while the visitors are 5th with 11 points
A crucial encounter for both teams to improve their position
近期状态
Atlético San Luis form is DDLDW with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Guadalajara is unbeaten in their last five matches with a WDWWD form
The visitors recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in all competitions
Atlético San Luis recently gained confidence after a win against Monterrey
统计数据
Atlético San Luis scores 1.44 goals on average and concedes 1.65 per game
Guadalajara has an impressive attack scoring 1.75 goals per match
However Guadalajara concedes an average of 1.88 goals per away match
The stadium averages 2.2 total goals per match
历史交锋
Even head-to-head record with 2 wins for each team in 4 direct encounters
The last match ended in a 3-2 away victory for Guadalajara on January 31, 2026
No draws have been recorded in their recent direct matchups
A total of 17 goals were scored across the 4 games
关键球员
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge controls the midfield for Atlético San Luis with a 7.23 season rating
David Rodríguez has contributed 2 goals for the home side
Attacker Roberto Alvarado leads Guadalajara with 4 goals this season
门将
Andrés Sánchez featured in goal for Atlético San Luis with 7 clean sheets this season
Guadalajara goalkeeper Raúl Rangel has secured 14 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez
Venue history shows a low Over 2.5 rate of just 20%
Guadalajara shows a much weaker defensive record when playing away from home