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Liga MX

Santos Laguna - Juárez

09/14/2026, 01:00 AM

2 : 1
预期进球
Santos Laguna
1.5
Total xG
2.5
Juárez
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
SLJUÁ

Santos Laguna

防守实力 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.48
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.46
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.20

Juárez

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.51倍)
-0.89
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.60
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.51
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.23
客场表现不佳 (场均0.3球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.35
+0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

47%

平局

29%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

53%

非平局

71%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Away defensive vulnerability: Juárez recently conceded an average of 3.8 goals per match
  • Low offensive threat: Santos Laguna averaged 2.8 shots on target in recent matches, while Juárez averaged 2.0
  • Mathematical bias: The model calculates a 47% probability for a home win for Santos Laguna
风险因素
  • Limited attacking threat: Santos Laguna averaged only 2.8 shots on target in recent matches
  • Away defensive weakness: Juárez concedes an average of 2.25 goals per away game this season
  • Weakened scoring rate: Santos Laguna averages only 0.5 goals per match in recent games compared to 1.15 on season
概述

Santos Laguna (17th place, 1 point) host Juárez (18th place, 0 points) at Estadio Nuevo Corona

Liga MX match on September 14, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC

A bottom-of-the-table clash between two struggling sides

近期状态

Santos Laguna form: LLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Recent results show 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses

Juárez form: LLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Recent results show 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses

Both teams are in a deep competitive crisis

统计数据

Santos Laguna scores an average of 1.24 goals per game and concedes 1.94 goals

Home record: 1.25 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per match

Juárez averages 1.5 goals scored and concedes 1.74 goals per game

The away side concedes an average of 2.25 goals and scores 1.5 goals in away matches

Santos Laguna recorded 6 clean sheets so far this season

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in history

Juárez leads with 3 wins to 0 wins for Santos Laguna, with 1 draw

The last direct encounter ended in a 2-2 draw on January 18, 2026

Overall goal difference of 3:7 in favor of Juárez

关键球员

Ezequiel Bullaude with one goal in the last 5 matches and a season average rating of 6.97

Fran Villalba records an average rating of 6.98 and contributed one assist

Felipe Sánchez strengthens the defense with an average rating of 6.96

José Luis Rodríguez contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 6.87

Óscar Estupiñán scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches with a rating of 6.64

Jairo Torres provided one assist and holds an average rating of 6.65

门将

Carlos Acevedo in goal for Santos Laguna holds an average rating of 7.39

Sebastián Jurado guards the goal for Juárez with an average rating of 6.79

Santos Laguna recorded 6 clean sheets this season, compared to 3 for Juárez

影响因素

Home advantage for Santos Laguna at Estadio Nuevo Corona on a grass surface

Historical goal average at this venue stands at 1.2 goals per match

There was not a single match where both teams scored in the last 5 games at this stadium

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