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Liga MX

Monterrey - Tigres UANL

09/13/2026, 01:10 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Monterrey
1.7
Total xG
3.0
Tigres UANL
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
MONTU

Monterrey

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.56倍)
+0.75
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.47
防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.18
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均2球)
+0.08

Tigres UANL

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.29
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1.5 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.14
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

27%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

73%

双方进球

60%

40%

关键因素
  • Critical limitation: Tigres UANL has only 12% of their usual seasonal goal production available according to the dataset
  • Form trend: Monterrey is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 2.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.7
  • Tactical edge: Monterrey recently averaged a strong 5.6 shots on target per match with 57% possession
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability away: Tigres UANL concedes an average of 1.87 goals in away matches
  • Struggling attack: Tigres UANL is currently scoring only 1.5 goals per match compared to their seasonal average of 2.0
  • Inconsistent form: Monterrey suffered two consecutive defeats in their most recent league games
概述

Monterrey (12th place, 9 points) host Tigres UANL (15th place, 6 points)

Liga MX match on September 13, 2026, 3:10 AM at Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Both teams are looking to close the gap to the upper half of the table

The home team enters this clash as the favorite according to the model

近期状态

Monterrey shows the form LWWLL with two consecutive losses recently

Tigres UANL holds the form LLWDD, coming off two consecutive draws

Monterrey has recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in their form summary

Tigres UANL has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their recent record

Form key: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Monterrey scored 61 goals in 38 games this season (avg. 1.61 goals per game)

The home team conceded 58 goals (avg. 1.53) and kept 10 clean sheets

Tigres UANL scored 75 goals in 42 matches (avg. 1.79) and conceded 44 goals (avg. 1.05)

At home, Monterrey averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded

Away from home, Tigres UANL concedes an average of 1.87 goals per match

历史交锋

Across 4 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 1, Tigres UANL won 2, with 1 draw

The goal difference in these meetings is balanced at 6:6

The last match on March 8, 2026, ended in a 1-0 win for Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL is recent dominant in direct matchups

关键球员

Lucas Ocampos is Monterrey's top attacker with 5 goals and 2 assists in 5 games

Diego Rossi shines in midfield with 2 goals, 3 assists, and an average rating of 7.14

Hugo Cuypers has contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 appearances for the home side

Juan Brunetta leads Tigres UANL's play with 3 goals, 4 assists, and an 8.0 rating

Rodrigo Aguirre scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist in 6 appearances for the visitors

Diego Lainez made 7 appearances for the away side with an average rating of 7.06

门将

Esteban Andrada guards Monterrey's goal with an average rating of 6.12

Nahuel Guzmán is in goal for Tigres UANL with an average rating of 6.84

Monterrey has managed to keep 10 clean sheets overall this season

Tigres UANL kept their goal clean in 14 matches

影响因素

Estadio BBVA Bancomer saw an average of 3.8 goals per game in recent matches

Stats show a high likelihood of both teams scoring with an 80% BTTS rate at this venue

Monterrey plays on their usual natural grass surface, providing additional stability

The home team averages 1.62 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded on their own turf

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