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Liga MX

León - Atlético San Luis

09/15/2026, 01:00 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
León
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Atlético San Luis
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
LEÓASL

León

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.08
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.1球)
全员可用

Atlético San Luis

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.19
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.13
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.05
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.35
+0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

28%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Home advantage and model forecast: The model calculates a 41% home win probability for León
  • Attacking presence: León averaged 5.2 shots on target in their recent matches
  • Historical dominance: León have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head encounters against San Luis
风险因素
  • Severe squad impact: Only 25% of León's and 14% of San Luis's goal contribution are active in this lineup
  • Struggling attack: Atlético San Luis's goal production has stalled, averaging 1.0 goals recently compared to 1.42 over the season
  • Defensive vulnerability: León have conceded an average of 1.85 goals per game this season
概述

León (12th place, 10 points) host Atlético San Luis (16th place, 6 points)

Liga MX match on September 15, 2026, 1:00 AM

A crucial battle as León look to climb into the top ten

近期状态

León show a positive trend with a form of WWWDL

A recent 1-3 loss against Pumas UNAM interrupted a three-game winning streak

Atlético San Luis struggle with a form of DLDWL

The visitors lost their last match 0-3 against Guadalajara

统计数据

León score an average of 1.06 goals and concede 1.85 per game this season

Atlético San Luis average 1.44 goals scored and 1.65 conceded

León's home record is perfectly balanced with 1.04 goals scored and conceded per game

San Luis concede an average of 1.67 goals in their away matches

历史交锋

León dominate the direct record with 3 wins in 4 matches

Atlético San Luis have only won once in their recent meetings

The last match ended in a 2-1 victory for León on March 22, 2026

关键球员

Jordi Cortizo leads León's attack with a strong average rating of 7.35

Daniel Arcila has already scored 3 goals this season for the hosts

Sébastien Salles-Lamonge is San Luis's standout midfielder with an average rating of 7.22

门将

Óscar García has played 7 games for León with an average rating of 7.05

Manuel Gibran Lajud Bojalil has featured in 1 game for Atlético San Luis, holding a 6.13 rating

影响因素

Estadio León averages 3.4 total goals per game

Both teams have scored in 60% of matches played at this venue

The game will be played on natural grass

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