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Liga MX

Atlante - Pachuca

09/12/2026, 03:00 AM

0 : 3
预期进球
Atlante
1.2
Total xG
2.5
Pachuca
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

0:1

9%

1:0

8%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
ATLPAC

Atlante

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.52倍)
-0.79
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.51
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
Jhojan Julio未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Eugenio Pizzuto未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
L. Calzadilla未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Pachuca

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
Salomón Rondón未进大名单 (7球, 0助攻)
Oussama Idrissi未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Carlos Adrián Sánchez Nava未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Elías Montiel未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

31%

客胜

37%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

63%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

69%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Only 0% of regular goal threat available for Atlante as Jhojan Julio, Eugenio Pizzuto, and L. Calzadilla are not in the lineup
  • Only 0% of regular goal threat available for Pachuca with Salomón Rondón, Oussama Idrissi, Carlos Adrián Sánchez Nava, and Elías Montiel missing
  • The mathematical model calculates a slight away win advantage of 37% for Pachuca
风险因素
  • Pachuca averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Limited database records on head-to-head matches between both teams
概述

Atlante (14th place, 7 points) hosts Pachuca (12th place, 8 points) at the Estadio Banorte

Liga MX match on September 12, 2026, 3:00 AM

A tight mid-table clash where both teams aim to climb the standings

近期状态

Atlante's recent form is WDLDD with two consecutive draws

The home side recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches

Pachuca enters with a form of LLDDW but won their most recent fixture

The visitors registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games

统计数据

Atlante scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per game this season

Both teams scored in 5 out of 7 matches played by Atlante

Pachuca averages 1.35 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded per match this season

The visitors have kept 10 clean sheets so far

Stadium statistics at Estadio Banorte indicate an average of 1.8 goals per game

关键球员

Goalkeeper Óscar Jiménez has played 7 season matches with an average rating of 7.2

Eduardo Tercero impresses in defense with a home rating of 7.17

L. Calzadilla records an average rating of 7.34 at home in attack

Defender Sergio Damián Barreto has completed 7 matches with an average rating of 6.97

Goalkeeper Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna carries an away rating of 7.13

Eduardo Gabriel dos Santos Bauermann stabilizes the defense with an away rating of 6.75

门将

Óscar Jiménez has played 7 season matches, keeping 1 clean sheet

Away goalkeeper Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna averages a rating of 7.13 in away fixtures

Pachuca has already recorded 10 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Atlante benefits from an average of 1.0 home goals per game at Estadio Banorte

Pachuca concedes an average of 1.32 goals in away matches

Matches at Estadio Banorte have a historical BTTS rate of 20%

The match will be played on natural grass

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