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Liga MX

Necaxa - Puebla

09/12/2026, 01:00 AM

0 : 1
预期进球
Necaxa
1.5
Total xG
2.7
Puebla
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
NECPUE

Necaxa

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.30
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.02

Puebla

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.25
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.12
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.12
Eduardo Mustre Torres未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
33%进球产出缺失 (仅74%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

43%

平局

29%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

57%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Offensive trend: Puebla currently scores more frequently (1.6 goals) than their season average (1.2) while Necaxa's production drops to 1.0
  • Tactical efficiency: Puebla averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches despite only 39.2% possession
  • Head-to-head history: Necaxa holds a strong record with 3 wins in the last 4 direct encounters
风险因素
  • Away defensive struggles: Puebla concedes an average of 2.57 goals per away match
  • Hosts' form crisis: Necaxa remains winless in their last five games with a negative trend
  • Key absentee: Puebla is missing attacker Eduardo Mustre Torres
概述

Necaxa hosts Puebla at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Liga MX fixture on September 12, 2026, 3:00 AM

Necaxa occupies 13th place with 8 points while Puebla sits in 10th with 10 points

近期状态

Necaxa shows a negative trend with a form string of LLDLD

Puebla features a form string of LDWWL with two victories in their last five matches

The home side registered zero wins in their last five outings in this dataset

统计数据

Necaxa scores 1.24 goals and concedes 1.00 goals on average per home game

Puebla concedes an average of 2.57 goals per away match while scoring 1.00 goals

Both teams scored in 80% of the matches played at this venue

历史交锋

Necaxa leads the head-to-head record with 3 wins out of 4 matches

The most recent encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on March 14, 2026

Puebla scored only one goal across these four direct meetings

关键球员

Julián Carranza averages 0.86 goals per 90 minutes with a season rating of 7.12

Javier Ruiz holds an average season rating of 7.02

Luis Jiménez records a season rating of 7.01 in goal

Kevin Velasco leads the away side with an average rating of 7.31 and one season goal

Carlos Baltazar scored one goal and provided one assist in 5 matches

Facundo Almada has a season rating of 6.86 with one goal scored from defence

Not nominated: Eduardo Mustre Torres (3 goals, 1 assist)

门将

Luis Jiménez holds a rating of 7.01 with 4 clean sheets this season

Daniel Gutiérrez records a rating of 6.9 with 6 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on grass turf at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Matches at this venue historically average 2.6 goals per game

Necaxa records an average of 1.24 goals scored and 1.00 goals conceded at home

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