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Liga MX

Pachuca - Tijuana

09/21/2026, 12:00 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
Pachuca
1.6
Total xG
2.9
Tijuana
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

7%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
PACTIJ

Pachuca

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
-0.37
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.5 赛季平均)
+0.10
Elías Montiel未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅91%可用)

Tijuana

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.40
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.38
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
-0.13
防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
+0.09
客场表现不佳 (场均0.4球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

28%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

72%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Home strength vs away weakness: Pachuca concedes only 0.90 goals per home match on average while Tijuana concedes 2.36 goals per away match
  • Pachuca's positive trend: The home team averaged 1.8 goals per match recently compared to their season average of 1.5
  • Statistical edge: The predictive model favors a home win for Pachuca with a probability of 44%
风险因素
  • Away defensive weakness: Tijuana concedes an extremely high average of 2.36 goals per away match
  • Low offensive threat: Tijuana averaged only 3.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Key player missing: Elías Montiel is out for Pachuca despite contributing 1 goal and 1 assist this season
概述

Pachuca hosts Tijuana at the Estadio Hidalgo

Liga MX match on September 21, 2026, 12:00 AM

Pachuca is in 12th place with 11 points

Tijuana occupies 10th place with 13 points

A mid-table clash where both teams aim to climb higher in the standings

近期状态

Pachuca has a form of LDDWW and comes off two consecutive wins

Tijuana shows a form of DWLWL having lost their last match

In the last five matches Pachuca recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Tijuana accumulated 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games

统计数据

Pachuca scores an average of 1.35 goals per game and concedes 1.1 goals

Tijuana averages 1.46 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded per game

Tijuana is highly vulnerable on the road conceding an average of 2.36 goals per away match

Pachuca is defensively solid at home conceding only 0.90 goals per home match

历史交锋

There have been 4 head-to-head matches in this period

Tijuana dominates the direct history with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Pachuca

The last encounter ended in a 3-1 win for Tijuana on April 23, 2026

A total of 14 goals were scored across these 4 matches

关键球员

Salomón Rondón is Pachuca's top scorer with 8 goals in 8 matches

Oussama Idrissi has 1 goal and 2 assists with a rating of 7.30 for Pachuca

Carlos Adrián Sánchez Nava has contributed 2 assists for the home side

Not nominated: Elías Montiel (1G/1A)

Gilberto Mora leads Tijuana with 4 goals and 1 assist in 6 appearances

Alejandro Gómez stabilizes Tijuana's defense with an average rating of 7.29

Adonis Preciado has provided 1 assist with a rating of 7.18 for Tijuana

门将

Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna plays in goal for Pachuca with a rating of 7.24 and has 10 clean sheets for his team this season

Antonio Rodríguez is in goal for Tijuana with a rating of 6.96 and has 13 clean sheets for his team

影响因素

The match will be played at the Estadio Hidalgo on grass

Pachuca has a solid home record conceding only 0.90 goals per home game

Historical venue stats show an average of 2.6 goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of matches played at this stadium

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