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Liga MX

América - Guadalajara

09/20/2026, 03:15 AM

2 : 2
预期进球
América
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Guadalajara
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
AMÉGUA

América

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.34
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.25
状态上升 (2.6 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
+0.25
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Isaías Violante替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Guadalajara

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.20
状态上升 (2.6 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.20
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.05
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

28%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

72%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Outstanding form: Both teams currently score an average of 2.6 goals per game, exceeding their season averages
  • Tactical dominance: América recently averaged an impressive 7.8 shots on target per match with 55% possession
  • Home and away discrepancy: While América concedes only 0.95 goals at home, Guadalajara allows an average of 1.88 goals on the road
风险因素
  • Away defensive weakness: Guadalajara concedes an average of 1.88 goals per away match
  • Head-to-head history: América lost the last direct encounter 0-1 and won only one of the past four meetings
概述

América vs Guadalajara at Estadio Banorte

Liga MX clash on September 20, 2026, 3:15 AM

Third place (16 points) faces second place (17 points)

A crucial match to close the gap on the leaders

近期状态

América: WWWWL (W=Win, D=Draw, L=Loss)

4 wins and 1 loss recently, averaging 2.6 goals per game

Guadalajara: WWDWW (W=Win, D=Draw, L=Loss)

Unbeaten in 5 matches, also averaging 2.6 goals per game

统计数据

América scores 1.61 goals and concedes 1.16 on average this season

At home, América concedes only 0.95 goals per game

Guadalajara averages 1.75 goals scored and 1.23 conceded

On the road, Guadalajara concedes an average of 1.88 goals

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches overall

1 win for América, 2 wins for Guadalajara, 1 draw

Overall goals: 2:3 from América's perspective

The last encounter ended 1:0 for Guadalajara

关键球员

Henry Martin (3 season goals, 1 assist, 7.15 rating)

Brian Rodríguez (3 season goals, 7.39 rating)

Raphael Veiga (1 season goal, 2 assists, 7.33 rating)

Not nominated: Isaías Violante (1 goal, 1 assist)

Roberto Alvarado (4 season goals, 1 assist, 7.61 rating)

Ricardo Marín (4 season goals, 2 assists, 7.21 rating)

Diego Campillo (1 season goal, 1 assist, 7.12 rating)

门将

Rodolfo Cota (América) carries a rating of 7.28 with 11 clean sheets this season

Raúl Rangel (Guadalajara) holds a rating of 7.20 with 14 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Home advantage for América at Estadio Banorte with 1.57 goals per home match

The match will be played on a grass surface

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