Liga MX
Atlas - Pumas UNAM
09/19/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
10%0:1
8%2:1
8%xG 分解
Atlas
Pumas UNAM
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
31%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Atlas scores more frequently recently (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.4 goals)
- Critical offensive bottleneck for the visitors: Only 16% of goal-scoring threat is available for Pumas UNAM
- The mathematical prediction favors Atlas with a 39% home win probability
风险因素
- Atlas recently averaged only 3.2 shots on target per match
- The visitors' goal production is halting significantly with only 1.0 goals in recent form compared to their season average of 1.7
- The mathematical analysis expects a low-scoring game with a 57% probability for Under 2.5 goals
概述
Atlas (9th place, 13 points) host Pumas UNAM (11th place, 11 points) at the Estadio Jalisco
Liga MX match on September 19, 2026, 11:00 PM
A tight midfield duel with only two points difference
近期状态
Atlas shows mixed form with the record WWLDL
Two wins, one draw, and two losses in their recent matches
Pumas UNAM arrives with a form curve of DDLWL
One win, two draws, and two losses show inconsistent performances
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Atlas scores an average of 1.17 goals and concedes 1.58 goals per match
At home, the defense is more stable, conceding only 1.09 goals on average
Pumas UNAM shows strong offensive power with 1.63 goals per game
The visitors concede an average of 1.5 goals in away matches
历史交锋
Even historical record in the last 4 head-to-head matches
One win for Atlas, one victory for Pumas UNAM, and two draws
The last meeting ended in a 2:2 draw on February 8, 2026
关键球员
For the home team, Luís André Leite Esteves (2 goals, 1 assist) and Duk (2 goals, 1 assist) are key
Florián Monzón is also in the starting lineup with 2 goals this season
Not nominated: Édgar Zaldívar (2 goals, 1 assist) and Arturo González (1 goal, 1 assist)
For the visitors, Robert Morales (2 goals, 3 assists) and Juninho (4 goals) are highly influential
Luciano Herrera (1 goal, 1 assist) is also a key factor in attack
门将
Camilo Vargas starts in goal for Atlas and has kept 10 clean sheets this season
Keylor Navas plays for the visitors and has recorded 12 clean sheets in total
影响因素
The match is played on grass at the Estadio Jalisco
Stadium statistics show an average of 2.8 goals per match
Both teams scored in four out of five matches
Atlas benefited from 7 home clean sheets this season