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Liga MX

Querétaro - León

09/21/2026, 02:10 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Querétaro
1.4
Total xG
2.8
León
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
QUELEÓ

Querétaro

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.23
状态上升 (2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.23
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.11
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.04

León

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.14
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.14
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

29%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

71%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • León concede an average of 4.11 goals per away match this season
  • Only 31% of León's season goal production is active for this match
  • Querétaro have been defensively stable recently, conceding only 1.25 goals on average in recent matches
风险因素
  • Querétaro play defensively, averaging only 39% possession in recent matches
  • León averaged a strong 5.8 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Highly balanced model predictions with 35% home win vs 37% away win
概述

Querétaro (8th place, 13 points) host León (9th place, 13 points) at Estadio La Corregidora

Liga MX match on September 21, 2026, 4:10 AM

Direct mid-table clash with both teams tied on points

近期状态

Querétaro current form is WDLWW

León current form is WWDLW

Querétaro recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

León achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their recent run

统计数据

Querétaro average 1.06 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded per match this season

León average 1.06 goals scored and 1.85 goals conceded per match

Querétaro's solid home defense concedes only 0.91 goals per game on average

León's weak away defense concedes an average of 4.11 goals per game on the road

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in recent history

Querétaro won 1, León won 2, with 1 draw

Goal difference of 3:8 against Querétaro

The last meeting ended in a 2:0 win for Querétaro on February 7, 2026

关键球员

Querétaro features Santiago Homenchenko (Defender, 4 goals, 2 assists, rating 7.62), Alí Ávila (Attacker, 3 goals, rating 6.95), and Mateo Coronel (Attacker, 2 goals, rating 6.95)

León features Díber Cambindo (Attacker, 3 goals, 1 assist, rating 7.29), Jordi Cortizo (Attacker, 2 goals, rating 7.35), and Daniel Arcila (Midfielder, 3 goals, rating 7.03)

门将

Querétaro with Guillermo Allison (rating 6.95, 5 home clean sheets this season)

León starts Óscar García (rating 7.03, 3 clean sheets this season)

影响因素

Estadio La Corregidora features a grass surface

Venue's historical average is 2.8 total goals per match

Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 matches played at this venue

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