Liga MX
Toluca - Santos Laguna
09/21/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.8
2.7
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
Toluca
Santos Laguna
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
26%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Toluca is in exceptional scoring form, averaging 3.0 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 2.2
- The mathematical model calculates a strong 58% probability for a home win with 1.80 expected goals for Toluca
- Toluca controlled their recent games with an average of 56.2% possession and active gameplay
风险因素
- Santos Laguna's defensive record on the road is highly concerning, conceding an average of 3.14 goals per away game this season
- Santos Laguna's attack is currently struggling, averaging only 1.0 goal per match in their recent fixtures
- Toluca has had less rest time with only 5 days since their last match compared to Santos Laguna's 7 days
概述
Toluca hosts Santos Laguna at the Estadio Nemesio Díez
Liga MX match on September 21, 2026, 2:00 AM
Clash between the league leaders and the second-to-last team
Toluca is in 1st place with 19 points
Santos Laguna sits in 17th place with 4 points
近期状态
Toluca form across all competitions: DWWWW
Santos Laguna form across all competitions: LLDLW
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Toluca is unbeaten in 5 matches with 4 consecutive wins
Santos Laguna secured a win in their last match after 4 games without a victory
统计数据
Toluca scores an average of 1.86 goals per game this season
Santos Laguna concedes an average of 1.94 goals per match
Santos Laguna is highly vulnerable away from home, conceding 3.14 goals per game on average
Toluca has conceded an average of just 0.85 goals at home
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent seasons
Toluca secured 3 wins and suffered 1 loss
The last encounter ended in a 3:1 win for Toluca on January 15, 2026
The total goal record stands at 9:6 in favor of Toluca
关键球员
Federico Viñas has scored 3 goals this season with an average rating of 7.14
Alexis Vega has scored 2 goals so far with a rating of 7.28
Paulinho has registered 1 goal with a rating of 6.92
For the visitors, Ezequiel Bullaude leads with 2 goals and a rating of 7.14
Mauricio Cuevas contributed 1 assist with a rating of 6.87
Esteban Lozano scored 1 goal with an average rating of 6.78
门将
Luis García is in goal for Toluca with a rating of 7.31
Carlos Acevedo guards the net for Santos Laguna with a rating of 7.37
Toluca has recorded 13 clean sheets so far this season
Santos Laguna has kept 6 clean sheets so far
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Nemesio Díez
Stadium statistics show an average of 4.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches
The over 2.5 rate for home matches at Estadio Nemesio Díez stands at 100%