Liga MX
Monterrey - Cruz Azul
09/20/2026, 01:10 AM
预期进球
1.3
2.6
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%0:2
6%xG 分解
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
30%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Highly balanced model prediction: Home win probability at 36% versus 34% away win with very close expected goals (1.32 to 1.28)
- Cruz Azul's H2H dominance with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 encounters, outscoring Monterrey 9-1
- Attacking metrics: Monterrey averaged 6.4 shots on target recently, compared to Cruz Azul's average of 7.0
风险因素
- Monterrey will have to play without Diego Rossi, who has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season
- Cruz Azul is missing Nicolás Ibáñez, depriving the attack of 3 seasonal goals
- Inconsistent season performance for Monterrey with 3 defeats already in 7 league matches
概述
Monterrey (12th place, 10 points) host Cruz Azul (4th place, 15 points) at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Liga MX match on September 20, 2026, 3:10 AM
A clash between the mid-table and the top teams
近期状态
Monterrey shows a form of WWLLD in recent matches
Most recently, they recorded a 0-0 home draw against Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul arrives with a form of LLWWW and three consecutive wins
In their last game, the visitors celebrated a 4-3 home win against América
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Monterrey averages 1.61 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game this season
At home, their defense is more stable with only 1.10 goals conceded per match
Cruz Azul scores an average of 1.77 goals and concedes just 1.09 per game
Away from home, Cruz Azul averages 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded
Both teams scored in 20 of Monterrey's 38 matches
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches in this period
Cruz Azul dominates the record with 3 wins and 1 draw
Monterrey is yet to secure a victory in this matchup
The last meeting on March 1, 2026, ended in a 2-0 win for Cruz Azul
The overall goal difference is 1-9 in favor of Cruz Azul
关键球员
Lucas Ocampos stands out for Monterrey with 5 goals and 2 assists, holding a 7.99 rating
Hugo Cuypers contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 6 appearances
Orbelín Pineda strengthens the midfield with 1 goal and 1 assist
For Cruz Azul, José Paradela shines with 2 goals and 4 assists in 8 matches
Carlos Rodríguez has already provided 5 assists with a rating of 7.23
Jeremy Márquez has scored 3 goals this season for the visitors
门将
Esteban Andrada guards the goal for Monterrey with an average rating of 7.13
For Cruz Azul, Kevin Mier played 7 matches, achieving a rating of 6.85
Over the season, Monterrey kept 10 clean sheets while Cruz Azul achieved 12 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Stadium statistics show high-scoring games with an average of 3.6 goals per match
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches at this arena
Monterrey averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded at home this season