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Liga MX

Atlético San Luis - Necaxa

09/19/2026, 11:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Atlético San Luis
1.4
Total xG
2.6
Necaxa
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
ASLNEC

Atlético San Luis

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.24
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.18
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.02
全员可用

Necaxa

小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.27
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.15
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

29%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

71%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Only 14% of the seasonal goal-scoring threat is available in the home team's active squad
  • Atlético San Luis averaged 4.0 shots on target in recent matches
  • Historical dominance for Necaxa with 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-head meetings
风险因素
  • Necaxa concedes a high average of 2.35 goals per away game
  • Atlético San Luis concedes an average of 1.62 goals per match at home
  • Both teams show a weak current form trend classified as Negative
概述

Atlético San Luis (16th place, 6 points) host Necaxa (13th place, 8 points) at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez

Liga MX match on September 19, 2026, 11:00 PM

A bottom-third duel with both teams aiming to close the gap to the mid-table

近期状态

Atlético San Luis form: LDWLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

The hosts come off two consecutive defeats

Necaxa form: LDLDL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)

Both teams find themselves in a difficult phase lacking consistency

统计数据

Atlético San Luis scores an average of 1.44 goals per match this season

At home, the hosts concede an average of 1.62 goals per game

Necaxa records an average of 1.29 goals per away match

The visitors show significant defensive issues on the road, conceding 2.35 goals per game on average

历史交锋

Necaxa dominates the historical record with 3 wins in 4 matches

Atlético San Luis has not won any of these head-to-head encounters (1 draw)

The last meeting on February 7, 2026 ended in a clear 4:1 win for Necaxa

A total of 17 goals were scored across the 4 matches

关键球员

Óscar Macías (midfielder, 1 goal and 1 assist) and David Rodríguez (midfielder, 2 goals) shape the home midfield

Rafa Llorente has already contributed 2 goals for Atlético San Luis this season

For the visitors, Julián Carranza stands out with 4 goals and 1 assist in 7 appearances

Juan Valencia scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 4 appearances

Kaiky Marques Naves stabilizes Necaxa's defense with an average rating of 6.97

门将

Manuel Gibran Lajud Bojalil has played 2 season matches for Atlético San Luis with an average rating of 6.81

Christopher Andrade starts in goal for the visitors, but has not played a match this season

The hosts recorded 7 clean sheets this season, while Necaxa has achieved 4 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez

The hosts score an average of 1.44 goals at home but concede 1.62 goals per game

An average of 2.4 goals per match was recorded in the last 5 matches at this venue

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