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Liga MX

Puebla - Atlante

09/19/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Puebla
1.3
Total xG
2.5
Atlante
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

10%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
PUEATL

Puebla

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.46倍)
-0.71
小样本 (3场) - 均值回归
+0.43
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.07
排名优势 (第8位 vs 第15位, 相差7位)
+0.04

Atlante

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第8位, 相差7位)
-0.09
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
-0.05
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.32
+0.32
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

31%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

69%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Puebla shows a positive form trend and currently scores more frequently (1.4) than their season average (1.2)
  • Atlante is struggling offensively in recent matches, averaging only 0.5 goals compared to their season average of 1.0
  • The mathematical model predicts a tight match with a 36% probability of a home win and 34% of an away victory
风险因素
  • Puebla enters this fixture with a short rest period of only 3 days since their last match
  • A low-scoring match is anticipated as the probability for over 2.5 goals is calculated at just 45%
  • Limited data availability for head-to-head records due to a lack of previous matchups
概述

Puebla host Atlante at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Liga MX match on September 19, 2026, 3:00 AM

Puebla currently sit in 8th place with 13 points

Atlante occupy 15th place with 7 points

近期状态

Puebla show mixed form with the sequence WWLWL

Their last match ended in a 0-1 defeat against Toluca

Atlante are winless in 5 matches with a form of DLDDL

In their last game Atlante suffered a 0-3 loss to Pachuca

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Puebla average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per match this season

Their home record stands at 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded on average

Atlante average 0.88 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game

On the road Atlante concede an average of 1.17 goals per match

The mathematical model predicts 1.25 goals for Puebla and 1.22 goals for Atlante

关键球员

Carlos Baltazar key in midfield with a rating of 6.96 in 7 matches

Mathías Tomás has scored 1 goal in 5 appearances with a rating of 7.17

Alejandro Organista has provided 1 assist in 8 appearances this season

Martín Sarrafiore has scored 2 goals in 5 games with a 7.02 rating

Jhojan Julio contributes 1 goal and 2 assists in 8 matches

L. Calzadilla has recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in 7 league games

门将

Daniel Gutiérrez plays in goal for Puebla keeping a rating of 6.87

Puebla have achieved 6 clean sheets so far this season

Óscar Jiménez guards the net for Atlante with a rating of 7.17

Atlante have recorded 1 clean sheet during this campaign

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Historical venue stats show an average of 2.6 goals per match at this stadium

Both teams scored in 60% of matches historically recorded at this venue

Puebla score an average of 1.0 goals per game in home fixtures

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